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Everything posted by ChannelThunder
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To be fair, it'd take a catastrophic failure of all models to become another '87 from here. The path and intensity has been pretty well nailed down since Monday night.
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It's getting ridiculously loud here. The trees being in leaf obviously exacerbates that though
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Wow, was not expecting so much lightning activity. Heading up towards Dorset by the look of it
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Better get the camera ready to head out later. Joking of course. Even I wouldn't try to shoot lightning in 70mph gusts.
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Storm Ciaran Prediction Comp
ChannelThunder replied to pinball wizard's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Guernsey Airport - 118mph -
It almost makes it look like the centre of the low is down there currently, rather than many miles to the west!
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Showery 'bits' left over from last night's 'warm up act' low
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Blowing a hoolie just along the coast here, especially in the downpours.
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I'm a homeowner in a pretty exposed location, so yes, it perhaps goes against logic to want such weather, but being a weather forum, I feel safe to say such things.
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Can't help but be disappointed that we're going to miss what may have been the strongest winds in living memory for me (I was too young for '87 and the one a few years later). Eunice remains king, at least for this decade!
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ECM in-line with the others. The low centre pretty much goes over the top of my head. Shame, this looked like a memorable event a couple of days ago, from a strong wind POV.
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Eunice. Same here; lost power for roughly 5-6 hours. Got me out of work for the afternoon! I can't see the same happening this time; every time I check the models it's moved further south.
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Only a worry for France on the latest UKV, hell of a southward shift
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Well, that didn't age well. Just 6 hours later and it's back south-shifted instead.
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Well that's no fun
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The storm will soon actually exist, which should help models hone in on the finer details. Going by what I can see, Ciaran is currently in the process of being born within this lot in the far NE USA:
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Crikey. Quite the period of weather at the mo, gotta say I'm enjoying it purely from an 'interesting' weather perspective.
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Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
They'll probably hold off until tomorrow, I'd imagine. The track of the low isn't nailed-on enough yet, and I'm seeing hints in the models that it could actually end up diving a little further south and largely being a problem for France...but we'll see -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
What f/stop was that? Must have caught you out with its brightness/closeness? -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
ChannelThunder replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Storm Ciaran looks all but certain, then. Could be the strongest wind event for the south since Eunice in Feb of last year. -
Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
ChannelThunder replied to Kirkcaldy Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
As a fan of turbulent weather, that looks quite something for the middle of the week. I wonder if ECM will fall in line with the others over the track? It tends to keep these systems further west (like on its previous runs for this one), and it tends to be correct in the end... -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
That line west of Cherbourg looks pretty encouraging on radar for Sussex and eastwards, I'd say. -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Well, in the time I went to help the other half with the Indian she's knocking up for dinner, that died off pretty quickly! Probably just as well as I was starting to get the third degree about saying I might nip out just before dinner... -
Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion- October 2023
ChannelThunder replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
The sferics are lost in this wet mess... Too wet for shooting other than setting up in the shelter of the car boot perhaps...