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Vikos

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Everything posted by Vikos

  1. This is just Murphy’s law „Anything that can go wrong will go wrong“ people need to chill over wobbly det op outputs as they struggle with splits and minor/major warmings…
  2. They start to talk about deep but mostly dry frost the next 10 days… and to be very cautious on those frozen lakes wich are newly made from the floodings…
  3. You need to chill, brother… this microanalysis of every run can ruin your mental stability let those runs at least finish and than go to comparison. the path is clear, it will turn colder… maybe much colder! Just hearing the news in the radio, saying about severe snowstorms in Scandinavia, 50cm snow in Denmark… and that’s just around the corner…not something in Yankee-land as usual
  4. Wait until the 00z come out… fantastic runs tonight, please let EC be on the same road! sPV looks angry
  5. Indeed, some go crazy already, but the most worry about a another catastrophic natural Desaster after the wildfires and the floodings last year.
  6. After BOOOOOOM comes sobering… every time. but with a sPV like this, there is absolutely no need to write off any colder prospects
  7. Good and informative post are currently getting flushed away by numerous oneliners commenting every single timeframe chart trying to spot even the smallest change to previous runs… I mean since yesterday evening there are +200 new posts, I am losing the grip. So thanks to those who are reposting gold post like from @Tamara
  8. I have no doubt that EC is leading the way. When GFS and others wanted cold over and before Xmas, ec was stubborn on the mild side.
  9. Well, don’t know… the 18z is the Yankee prime time forecast source someone once said…
  10. Gfs 00z should always be treated very carefully because it has the less amount of data input from all 4 runs… 18z has the best data..
  11. To much overanalyse going on for side runs of a rather bad performing model
  12. Isn’t EC leading in Strat/Trop because of more vertical layers? also JMA is very strong I heard once…
  13. Won’t agree to that.. as far as I know, after 240h data input is cut to -30% less…
  14. If someone is interested were GFS gets its data from… the 00z always seems to have the lowest data input, 18z the highest…
  15. Rather normal euro winter. Greece will have 20-25c today, and I do remember in my childhood times that I went for a swim around new year often…
  16. According to this chart, downward development will take its time, may some goods will be delivered in or even after 3rd quarter of January… But also good to see that west open end dies at new year
  17. This is for what timeframe? And knowledge tells me that this can raise rapidly within few days…
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