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cambs_ry

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Everything posted by cambs_ry

  1. cambs_ry
    Perhaps if it had been in the middle day when people are out and about, a few local red warnings may be warranted. Thankfully, 99% of people are safe in their beds and will wake up to a horizontal wheelie bin or a cancelled train to work at most.
  2. cambs_ry
    Sudden insane wind right now
  3. cambs_ry
    The sun is trying to peek through the cloud here and my word does it feel tropical when it does, the humidity is quite something. Feels ripe for some hefty storms later…
  4. cambs_ry
    Precipitation can’t decide what it wants to be today: rain, sleet, snow, hail, graupel… winds are bitterly cold too.
  5. cambs_ry
    Just got off the tram at Cornbrook which is miserable at the best of times but this wind is properly bitter! I live just around the corner and it’s more like wet snow now, freezing level dropping quite rapidly? Still, it would take a lot for anything to settle.
  6. cambs_ry
    Begrudgingly given up on any prospect of lying snow here tomorrow morning. Surfaces are drenched after hours of cold rain barely turning to sleet now. Not likely to dip below freezing long enough for even ice to be a problem. Hard to believe that places just up the road are getting proper snowfall!
  7. cambs_ry
    The variation in intensity is really unusual! Minute to minute it’s going from 2/10 to 7/10. Bit of tease
  8. cambs_ry
    Picking up a bit here now but surfaces are too wet for anything to settle after the last few hours of snizzle…
  9. cambs_ry
    Very fine snow floating in the air here - bodes well for tomorrow despite models showing the Manchester snow shield in effect?
  10. cambs_ry
    Some rapidly intensifying precipitation over Southport making a beeline towards Manchester (here’s hoping!)
  11. cambs_ry
    It’s better than nothing, and a rare treat in December…
  12. cambs_ry
    One or two amateur weather stations reporting 40C and even 41C to the SE of Cambridge. Probably the area to watch. Would be interesting to see the record broken again at the Botanical Gardens! https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/ICAMBRID169
  13. cambs_ry
    Charlwood, Surrey at 34.8C @ 12:00
  14. cambs_ry
    Lots of hair-splitting at the moment, the heat is exhausting enough! Anyway, the ECM is exhibiting lots of storm potential Tuesday PM for southern England, though the GFS has CAPEs of 2000+ in the north - what’s at play here?
  15. cambs_ry
    I concur. I think a lot of models are overdoing the progression of the Iberian low. Recent JMA run seem the most plausible in that regard.
  16. cambs_ry
    May I ask why? Attributing any positive thoughts or feelings to a symptom of our catastrophic climate breakdown seems unfathomable to me and many others, I suspect.
  17. cambs_ry
    There is a Cobra meeting today, so that should indicate how seriously our public bodies are taking this. Of course I’m not suggesting many thousands of healthy people will be dropping down dead, but there will be dozens, if not hundreds of heat-related hospitalisations and sadly deaths in vulnerable populations in this extreme albeit brief heatwave. FWIW, I work in a public health organisation and I am certainly not the first to use the term “mass casualty event” - it isn’t used lightly.
  18. cambs_ry
    Provided you’re well hydrated, in good health and have access to a relatively cool space. This is otherwise a dangerous spell of weather. We’re potentially about to see a mass casualty event. I’ve no doubt the Met Office will upgrade the extreme heat warning to a red in the next 24-48 hours, given the increased likelihood - it’s already at the top of the impact matrix for severity.
  19. cambs_ry
    Had a brief spell of lightning and large hail, currently in a bit of a lull before that more intense cell pushes NE from Northwich/Warrington
  20. cambs_ry
    Quite a spectacular and long-lasting hail shower over Manchester, biggest pieces are larger than a thumbnail!
  21. cambs_ry
    This is going to fizzle out isn’t it... just like it did with the showers in from the east. Rubbish!
  22. cambs_ry
    The sky is gradually dimming here, no flakes yet. Only a slight breeze so hopefully any snow that does fall manages to settle. Will this be it for the season?
  23. cambs_ry
    Complete reversals are rare, it's more continuous refinement based on the evidence available, which itself is constantly evolving in the chaotic system that is weather. That's good science.
  24. cambs_ry
    One of the DeTrafford developments? I'm right around the corner!
  25. cambs_ry
    At this point I'm more interested in how thick the ice can get on the canal I overlook with consecutive sub-zero minima. I'd wager that central Manchester is not getting any lying snow this week. Edit: this precipitation shadow is incredibly well-modelled I might add (ARPEGE and ICON especially)
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