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Rayth

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Everything posted by Rayth

  1. Rayth
    Can you get archived ensemble charts like you can other model output?
  2. Rayth
    and soon to be cross polar
  3. Rayth
    Found another article this morning Jo this time from Ladbrokes Will we have a white Christmas this year? Latest snow odds for the UK METRO.CO.UK Is it going to snow in the UK on Christmas Day? Get Met Office updates and bookies' odds on White Christmas 2022 here. @Jo Farrow
  4. Rayth
    Another jab and hook towards a vortex on the ropes
  5. Rayth
    Hi Nick Im sure you were the man that used to give us the NOAA chat about where their thinking was regarding model output Do you still have access to that?
  6. Rayth
    This thread needs an assured hand from the 00z ECM not a GFS tantrum ‘garden paths’ and ‘crud uppers’ aren’t welcome in the next hour
  7. Rayth
    Yep ! Would have bit your hand off if you’d have offered me this ensemble set in October for the first week of December Crewe !! No complaints here
  8. Rayth
    Basically the average of all the models runs
  9. Rayth
    Monster -Nao signal
  10. Rayth
    William Hill the only firm I can find a live market on it , was hoping my location would be on (Newcastle) but no avail
  11. Rayth
    This is the last thing we need in this saga A worse GFS
  12. Rayth
    Christ , that’s on its way to the Mariana Trench
  13. Rayth
    I wonder if we will be in the position of a mediocre medium term outlook - better long term and vice versa
  14. Rayth
    Of course it’s got to verify first before the back slapping and handing out medals to themselves occurs , models are changing frequently, what was shown yesterday has changed today but can also revert back
  15. Rayth
    What I do find interesting is the appetite for blocking to keep reinvigorating in some form , so at least there’s a signal there, it’s been noted on here that the real fireworks ( if they are to happen) will take a few bites of the cherry before the pattern is set in Then we have the possibility of what catacol mentioned, a complete drop of the signal then grasped again, it’s all intriguing and way more interesting than a rampant PV
  16. Rayth
    Yep , but the para is better for Greenland blocking but the HP from rising around Italy blocks the cold feed All up for grabs in the extended
  17. Rayth
    Very easy on this eye is this
  18. Rayth
    Well I’d take this ensemble set for the start of any December
  19. Rayth
    Indeed , not really sure I have seen much ‘hype’ iv seen people posting what the models are showing ? Which is the whole point of this thread, it’s a shame certain users only post for self gratification and self back patting, anyway as crewe has been posting for days, very interesting model output at the moment
  20. Rayth
    That way you will become more focussed on micro changes rather than macro, maybe it's just down to personal preference but i tend to want to see the bigger picture
  21. Rayth
    Reason I followed @johnholmes advice a while back and picked one run to follow either 12z or 00z for me, then dissect the nuances from there , dissecting every 6 hours doesn’t give you the changes/progression in pattern for me
  22. Rayth
    I think most cold weather lovers would take a 09/10 ‘’lite’ given half a chance !!! thanks for sharing @Kirkcaldy Weather , intriguing blog
  23. Rayth
    We both know how fickle the Exeter wording can be but maybe signs within their halls that something is stirring or maybe not…. think someone posted this last night too
  24. Rayth
    And right when you want it , approaching winter solstice , shortest days…. Tantalizing
  25. Rayth
    Yep , and also a bit of a cold cluster maintaining now, let’s hope the op had a wobble
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