
seajamiet
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Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
seajamiet replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Weather Discussion - Spring
At the point they go warmer you are talking deep FI. Are you chasing a mild chart at 384 hours? -
Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter
seajamiet replied to Paul's topic in Weather Discussion - Spring
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Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
seajamiet replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Weather Discussion - Spring
I find this so surreal at the moment. I've been following the models for around 4-5 years and I've never seen model output quite like it. I do remember March 2018 but that was a short but sharp BFTE. Not like now where the entire GFS output is significantly below average throughout from start to end with plenty of time for snow to fall. For those more experienced, are you finding this as surreal as I am, and have you seen this before? Just wondering what response we will get from the weather orgs; Met Office etc and whether they'll start to hint at the current output. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
seajamiet replied to Met4Cast's topic in Weather Discussion - Spring
I once discussed with a work colleague how I was all into weather and the raw models and I've been learning on the ins and outs and then proceeded to proclaim it was going to be a cold winter with snow on the way. Learned the hard way not to believe what you see too soon. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
seajamiet replied to Met4Cast's topic in Weather Discussion - Spring
Been following the models for around 4-5 years but rarely post - everything I've seen and been reading is mostly positive. Don't remember often seeing these outputs in December if at all, pretty sure in the last few winters we've been staring at a bit of a zonal period in the run up to Christmas. Nice to see SSW possibilities showing too which'll keep the interest going no doubt. Looking forward to the next few weeks 👍 -
You have to become fluent in "isobar", then it all makes sense :) I'm actually a bit of a fan ?