Snowjokes92
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Model output discussion - cold spell approaching?
Snowjokes92 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A lot of really strange comments on here. Glad I can look at these charts and keep my personal take on the models to myself and not take every run like its nailed to happen. Especially given how up and down the out put is within 72 hours! The cold spilling into the atlantic at 168 hours on the ECM, that a lot of people have picked up on,eventually swings the cold uppers to the UK not long after. Also given that it is FI anyway and by no means massively supported amongst the output its not something we should be overly concerned about yet in my view. -
Thank you I found a 'how high above sea level am I' app. 160m so thats settled things for me. Knew it was over the 150m mark Thursday/Friday event looking like one of those surprise short notice, significant snow events. Lets hope it pulls off and it doesnt look like it will leave quickly either. Amber warnings at the ready?
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Snowjokes92 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Getting a 2013 feeling with these wedges popping up at short notice and can only see upgrade from here. Ecm 144 hrs not far from a snow fest given a few tweeks with uppers. -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Snowjokes92 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi all. Are the hints of ridges building,on the ecm for example in FI enough to keep us in the gam?. Not trying to be negative i have been a bit on fence last couple days. Thats even when I know how volitile models can be during SSW Events. Just hope we can keep these adjustments coming Hope all is well with everyone. Last fews days just been a bit fed up with all the stuff going on at minute, struggled to motivate myself, let alone keeping a proper eye on the models. Just been a few flicks and reads on here. Anyhow, hopefully see some clarity soon within the models -
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North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards
Snowjokes92 replied to cheshire snow's topic in Regional
Why what was said originally? -
Raining here. Sorry to sound like a moaner but cant be the only one feeling a little let down so far? There isnt a real signal as to where we will be in next couple weeks at the minute and before saturday its looked like a good week coming up at least till friday. Even thursdays front system looks to be diminishing. 2c and rain doesnt do it for me. Give me a wind and rainstorm anyday over that.
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Not been drawn in again with the 'significant snowfall' comments. The models are all over the place in 4 to 5 day time let alone the last third of January.
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Snowjokes92 replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not catched up on here today, just had a quick look at the days model runs. Must say, compared to yesterday feels like the the gfs and ecm trying to toy with the impacts of the warming at mid range, building heights to the north and scandi but not quite getting there. I think personally there trying to sniff it out, but struggling with the modelling of any impacts because of the warming