snowstorm27x

Will do. It's sad times now. We really are scrapping the barrel this winter just to see a snowflake lol.

Meant foot lol dont know what it converts to in meteres. Probs around the same as you. Either way Buxton is our best bet

I am 502 msl. Still best bet for guaranteed snow is about 30 minute drive to Buxton.

Yep as I said main band is further South and uppers not as good. Sleet or a flurry the best we can hope for. Even that risk is in the early hours tomorrow.

Snow band a touch further South on gfs as is the snow risk. I think Buxton will do really well and the rest of the Midlands sleet and snow mix. Uppers look to marginal to me. Still enough time for changes just need a tiny upgrade.

I just cant believe it Shaky after the past 2 winters we have had. I think it could be snowing and I would still think it was mirage lol.

That was torrential. Rain was sideways. Nasty little squall. Tree down also.

First snow symbol we really are in desperate times this Winter.

Think it will be a nowcasting situation every model is different at present even at this close range.

Wind really whipping through now lots of debris being blown about and fence down. Rain not bad here yet.

Wind really picked up here now and still a decent chance next week to see a flake. Finally interesting weather although stay safe people.

Apart from a bit of wind looking like a plain old washout for this area. Even buxton might struggle for lying snow. Uppers dont support snowfall especially with low elevation. Hope March is better in this Snowless winter.

Looking at this mornings runs it's very possible as again it's a touch further South. Still going to be marginal. Surprised my altitude is 512 every little helps lol. Buxton is definately getting a visit though.

Yh they are more favoured but a number of charts show the South getting in on the action. Especially towards Wednesdsy and Thursdsy next week. So yh higher ground is favoured but not exclusively. Uppers seem conductive for snow fall next week but trying to predict thickness, PPN at this range is like give a blind man darts. Finer details wont be nailed down to Maybe Sunday. But compared to the trash of Winter so far theres lots of excitement and interest coming next week. Expect Upgrades and downgrades aplenty. ??

Nice upgrade for Snow prospects this morning gfs extends the snow risk all the way to Thursdsy night. So we have a window from Monday to Thursday night obviously higher ground is favoured but dont be surprised to see low level snow even in the South. We worry so much what might happen in deep FI. We should enjoy the now wich gives us all a great chance of the White stuff.

I would sacrifice the rest of Winter for a few potentially snowy days next week. Last flake was two years ago.

I wouldn't kick the GFS out of bed tonight. Just one of many potential snow charts. Plz let if verify for once.

Damm here in Birmingham that would cause carnage as much as I love extreme weather that could be very destructive. Still expect it to downgrade by Friday.

Yh I think the Second low is dead in the water now. Also the first low is again just s tad more North. Snow at present for Midlands and South not looking good. Need to see a more southerly track on the 12z if not this will be strictly a Scottish affair and maybe the North.

Yep it looks very kinky lol. Also ripe for Cheshire gap streamers. Just need those uppers to play ball.

Yh I think we put this to bed now expect next ECM run to remove the storm also it only just scraped over the line and barely formed here. If I was a betting man I would say Manchester North has a chance of snow. Midlands and southerners good old rain and a bit windy. Seems the models jumped the gun on those dardboard lows. Await 06z for final nail for this event to join the many false Dawn's.

Yh agree I cant believe the second low has completely gone. Monday still holds a little interest but any further North and we all miss out as the uppers get mixed in with the dreaded warm sectors. But yh let's see if the 06z follow suit I hope not.

GFS a massive downgrade snow wise infact it removes the second low and result is everything being way further north. Scotland are still looking good for a right pasting. Further south we badly need it to correct southward or I fear it will be wet rather than white. Cant believe I got excited again should know better lol.

That really is quite drastic change to what was shown. But it also shows us how things can flip in short term. So yh long range forecasts say it will be a relatively mild Winter and potentially stormy. But if the models cant agree in the mid range timeframe how on earth can they predict many weeks ahead or months. I take anything past 4 days with a pinch of salt personally.

Oh yh I just looked seen it lol. But 80mph could still be very dangerous if it comes to fruition. Also It looks if a third chase is on the cards much better 06Z today.