Davegwarn
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Posts posted by Davegwarn
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12 minutes ago, WinterOf47 said:
I lived downwind of Georgian Bay in Canada for 7 years and became an expert at predicting Lake Effect Snow (best dump was 45cms from 11:00pm to 7:00am the next morning). I actually predicted what we are seeing now in the South east the other day on the main chat. The large models are rubbish at picking up Lake or Sea Effect snow..a little smudge of precipitation can be 20cm! The streamers are forming just at the bottom of the North Sea to the east of the Thames Estuary. Unfortunately the wind is going to shift slightly to east later this evening, so this won’t last, but we could get a few cms in some parts of the the South east, especially if it carries on into the evening. Got about 1 cm here in Southern West Sussex, but radar is looking good upwind.
Hi Winter, I've been over to Barrie and Midland in that neck of the woods many times. A different world!
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8 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
Wow! ...that's a total white out!
When I get back from my walk down the back garden I'll upload another one.
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Coming down heavier in Chelmsford now!
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Very light snow flurry in Chelmsford
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23 minutes ago, throwoff said:
17 more than I have seen
You've got to be realistic throwoff, in the christmas pudding snowfalls of 17 grains won't happen every day. I just got lucky I suppose.
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Just been on the school run and I can report about 17 grains of snow in and around Danbury. Traffic seems to be holding up at the moment. Stay safe out there.
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46 minutes ago, That ECM said:850’s with a 40 degree difference in such a small distance.
The US have a Midlands North too??
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Snowing nicely in Chelmsford, nice little covering beginning!
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Lovely winters walk with the dog this morning in Danbury (temp -6!).
Lake frozen over and crunching ice. Perfect!
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Afternoon all, i'm not usually a visitor of the hurricane forum however... i'm travelling to Florida for 2 weeks in mid-October and have turned my thoughts to hurricanes given the imminent arrival of Ian.
I'm sure that these things are unpredictable down to the last 24 hours, but is there a time frame at which you can spot one that could land in the vicinity of Orlando? Also going to spend time on the Gulf coast of Mexico.
Would appreciate your collective brains!
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32 minutes ago, Laurence said:
Its you I feel for. All those Buxton windows you have to now remove blizzard protection from. Its only a joke ... but those bloody models need scrapping.
As the wise sage George W Bush junior said
"fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice shame on me." Bloody hell how many times have the models lead us to cusp only to pull the rug out froom under our feet,
One of my favourite comedic moments in history (the Bush bit) . Well worth a Google for anyone who hasn't seen it
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Lovely morning here, nice walk in Danbury with my dog.
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Just been for a walk to Danbury with the kids as it often does well with a bit of elevation. There was about 3-5cms I'd say and enough to enjoy.
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I've had a few personal messages from concerned Netweather members over the past couple of hours following my photo of up to 2mm's of snow building against my fence.
Please be reassured that my fence is still managing to stand up to the increasing weight of snow.
However, blizzard like conditions have since led to an epic level of drifting not seen for over 3 years (see updated photo below).
Stay safe out there fellow southerners.
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Drifting snow now piling up against my garden fence in Chelmsford. Up to 2mm now on the horizontal bits. #Amber warning.
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41 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:
Yh had a feeling Heybridge, Danbury etc would do ok out of this, my sweet spot would have been Braintree through Bury St Edmonds to west of Norwich so nice to see at least walkable crunchy snow pics coming in from there but certainly no Amber warning needed for this event - Another Fail for the Met Office
Paul I was just walking in Danbury with the kids before it turned to rain, probably 2-3cms, see pic
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6 minutes ago, D.V.R said:Not according to that
Sorry, turned the flash on now
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Snowing heavily in GT Baddow Chelmsford, has been for past 15 minutes and a layer starting to appear on grass and cars! Do I wake kids up...
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1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:
Good afternoon South Easterners-
Today has felt like the first day of a proper cold spell, its 2.8c here but the air has a proper bite when you walk outside.
Slate grey skies, 0c dewpoint is what a winters day should be all about ....
Garden looking a bit rough- needs an hour TLC
My wife knows when there's potential for snow because a) I'm on the phone constantly and b) I suddenly get very interested in clearing everything off of the lawn, making sure no dogs mess etc etc...
Classic signs of incoming cold...
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41 minutes ago, jethro said:
Every Christmas I ask Santa for snow, all I really want is to open my curtains and find my garden looking like this again. I think, looking at the blobby, squigley line pictures, this year has come closer to making dreams come true than many a year, but alas not close enough. If you're like me, dreaming of that elusive white Christmas, don't give up....switch to the Julian calendar, celebrate Christmas on the old and orthodox date of January 6th
Beautiful picture, how did you get to the bottom of your garden without leaving footprints?
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2 hours ago, IDO said:
The gefs at d12 are not yet conclusive for how the pattern develops from the third ridge post-d7. Certainly the op is the most progressive by d10 with the Greenland wedge, but it is not until d12 it gets a solid cluster in the ens. There are however maybe two more options with similar support...
d12 gefs>
London>
...the Atlantic high (rebounding at times) and the NW>SE flow. This still needs to be resolved. Still a solid 850's mean running through to d16 in my area, so an extended seasonal flow, with maybe after d12, some signs of a few members moving colder. There are the usual humbug runs mixed in of course.
Looking an interesting 10 days from Thursday and the door remains open in FI for further possibilities.
Can anyone tell me where I can input my own longitude and latitude to view the same GEFS as above? I tried Google and looking on metrociel but couldn't find the same charts.
Thanks in advance
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7 minutes ago, stripeyfox said:
Quick canvass of opinions. Been keeping an eye on things from the viewpoint of kids football matches due to take place tomorrow. Given the forecast and Amber warning, should we be expecting parents to drive kids to games to played in a howling gale? To be common sense would say call the games off, but our League secretary is more of a "it's only a bit of wind, it won't hurt them" kind of guy!
My league just called off all games for tomorrow (Chelmsford, Essex area)
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12 hours ago, Weather-history said:
10 mulitplied by [(number of days with lying snow at 9am)+(number of days with falling sleet/snow)+(number of air frosts)] divided by the mean maximum of that winter
Morning WH
Where can I access these datasets by area?
Thanks
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51 minutes ago, WhiteFox said:
I was lucky enough to catch one storm that dumped 27 inches. There are some pics in my profile. Hard to believe it was 13 years ago!
Awesome photos, thanks for sharing
SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on
in SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion
Posted
It's a small world! I've been to the area probably a dozen times with work and guaranteed snow fix in the winter. Drifts as tall as me and I experienced the -30 joy (never leave home without a 'took')