Justin123

What nothing at all or just rain ?

Is anyone seeing snow from this it’s rather heavy, so maybe sleety big wet flakes in the heaviest part. It’s frezing over the last hour now.

Yes sorry I see your point now, I’m probably 80/20 with even a flake falling today, 20 being yes lol, but still could change later. Let’s hope so, the precipitation is dying rather quickly as it sinks SE.

It’s 4c from 7c

No problem it helps us out, I don’t really understand it, when people go really technical so I’ll deliver the refined explanations.

must start soon for you, as the radar relies on model input so you may se snowflakes in the next hour or so, who knows anymore ?

Radar grabs suggest wintry mix on the back edge of the front, can see the heavy snow showers building in the occluded front, let’s hope it stays at the same strength as it’s sinks away this afternoon and tonight. My take as if now, blue line westwards is where the cold air is moving in, and obviously red line is that occluded front bringing the possible snow/sleet to our region later on. The fax charts seems to keep the occluded front, going as it leaves SE U.K., however I’m unsure why Met office haven’t even forecast any precipitation later on, but models and bbc do. Let a days radar watching begin. ALL I CAN SAY RIGHT NOW IN BRENTSOOD ITS PIDDLING IT DOWN!

They will want to issue a warning for ice as temps tommorow night drop below freezing after the late afternoon rain and freezing temps soon after, they issue warnings for no reason anyway, likewise yesterday mornings event was a dusting even where heaviest ppn was and no ice formed so no need for warning.

Also yamkin, it’s after the main band of PPN I believe may have a chance to dry up a little for a higher chance it a slushy dusting ? and yes I agree no snow from the main band above 200m but afternoon evening, high chance !

Thank youuuu

I mentioned earlier it’s still 36 hours away, Met office have issued warnings within 2 hours of a feature before, even the other day, the warning was extended southwards 6hours before on Monday night, they are focused on other warnings in force at the moment, but as it becomes clear after tonight and tommorows runs, they may issue a warning, but there definitely is something to watch for tommorow. So head high guys

Lol it’s ok, just trying to fixate on the snow chance but have to give in sometimes ?

The Front isn’t dintegrating at all it moves of into France/ Netherlands, taking heavy PPN, that will fall as snow over there, the snow that could possibly happen is dribs and drabs left Behind after the main front. That precipitation will disintegrate but not the front.

I wouldnt say it’s in the wrong side of marginal, people will have a few suprises, the GFS run shows snowfall at around 4pm tommorow evening mainly in the shower form, but HIRLAM hints at a heavy band of precipitation moving through at around 5pm falling as snow laying a few hours for the far SE and East Anglia, I’m keeping my eye on it, will know more this evening after tonight’s run.

I’m excited to as any potential is good but don’t be to dissapointed if nothing comes of it, although I’ve got a feeling. No worries, I hope it helps you a bit, make sure you post here though. Justin

Met office rely on UKMO, and wouldn’t mention snow unless there is a trend, not saying it’s definite there’s a slight possibility of a dusting m, over East anglia, Suffolk, east essex, and Kent, keep coming back here over the next 24hours, most likely a bust by tonight’s update anyway ?? if you look at the charts below, it’s very marginal. It looks overwhelming but pretty clear. We have -6 a -8 uppers by tommorow evening, so precipitation would likely fall as sleet if not snow but wouldn’t settle at 2metre temperatures a little high. And again, if this continues tonight Met office will pick it up and mention the possibility of a wintry mix, as they usually do when they are unsure. hope I helped

GFS also suggesting potential snow even for tommorow as well as Hirlam, let’s wait until 12z.

Excited to see if Hirlam pulls this off, and it’s after the main band of precipitation, so if dew points and temps and uppers correlate, could be in for a surprise tommorow evening. EDIT- Dew points at -1 / -2 tommorow evening. Temps at around 3/4c so snow may fall but may not settle.

It was all further west, but hey guess what it’s only our region in for a snow chance tommorow evening, so that’s a plus even if it doesn’t materialise.

Another light snow shower in Brentwood, is Fridays back edge snow out if the equasion

Signs of devolpments east of that large blop on top of Cambridge, on the last radar grab probably nothing, but could relay what it done earlier, which was form ou of nowhere. Although didn’t need a yellow warning

I’d love to be in Cambridge right now

Actually changed my mind, think the precipitation is just following the NNE,ly so will start decaying soon

It’s strangely more West over north central London, does this mean as the front leaves the U.K., it will edge percipitaiton eastwards again. Can confirm snow here in Canvey Island, in 127 quite heavy snow

Isn’t it due to the very dry air, and the cloud base being a lot higher up.