convector
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Posts posted by convector
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okay. Very insightful
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Perhaps just a convergence zone storm but its persistence is interesting. Must have dumped a fair amount of convective snow inland
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@The Tall Weatherman oh you disagree? why not say anything then?
Its still in the same place, producing lighting an hour later. You dont think its a supercell?
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Supercell near the lake district causing continuous snowfall. Decent amount of lighting off it too - anyone got pics? (socials on radar dont seem to working anymore)
Looks like only the southern half of the lakes are affected currently, but the metoffice have issued an amber warning for the whole area.
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52 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:
It's trying ❄ Think this will be pure nowcast still seeing some support for the band.
Met office has it as a short wave, most models showing something. im just inside the 528 lol. fingers crossed ..
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End of the week setup starting to look a bit like December 2017. Cant get the archives to work rn but even the times line up on some runs.. nice snow chart for thursday
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Brilliant surprise cells off the backend right now! Low cloud finally lifting and i can see the storms illuminated
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We're looking for home growns these eve, doesnt matter much what happens in the channel. Looks like the cold front is initiating some showers in the south currently, but not progressing quickly. Things look better later as the pressure falls and position of the jet looks more favourable for divergence
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Just now, Thunders said:
the SE is full of surprises, people will call it a bust then we explode with activity
yeah too many losing faith, got another 5/6 hours till anythings due
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3 minutes ago, viking_smb said:
everything is starting to move east now as the cold front is pushing it east
1 minute ago, Aiden2012 said:Yep so I don’t really get what all the hype is
silliness. its far from over
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very jealous rn, i know thats all we're gonna see down south.. Meanwhile that cell heading for peterborough is pushing 300 strikes a minute! Takes the p
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Humber storm becoming a supercell
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Looks like the forecast has changed - most active storms aren't even in the MetOffice warning area. Arome has renewed CAPE developing in the south/SW from 2pm onwards today, radar looking right for it too. Reckon we could see new storms around the M4 this evening
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Wow this was a surprise! clouds lighting up in the distance and heading my way! got that warm breeze and cold beer felling goood
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10 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:
Well defined on satellite
think that's just prefrontal feature, main cold front still out to the west along the coastline
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Well, enjoy everyone. Thats me out for today. we cook em up, the midlands get the show. tired of these mediocre setups
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Looking like a boring day for oxford now
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Expecting things will still develop through the haze, dew points in high teens north of the M4. I have a question, though.. why are there no real soundings for today? There should be a 12z in a t least two locations in the UK, its a day of interest
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15 minutes ago, PurpleLED said:
I want to hope, but I think it will die before it gets near us.
i can see and hear it now :0
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Getting very excited about this storm tracking up the M40 - should be a direct hit!!
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10 minutes ago, Lynxus said:
The big suckysucky that's over the middle of the country now is killing of any new growth.
Luckily, as it moves NW, you can see new storms popping up in the far south and south east now.Gonna be fun in a few hours time i think..
The one over SW london, I think will be huge later.my thoughts too. Theres still a lot of unused CAPE in the south were storms haven't formed yet (dews still in high teens). This, coupled with the encroaching sea breezes, will hopefully aid in stronger storm development over the next few hours.
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Next round of storms will be from south london extending WNW through oxfordshire. I can already hear thunder from the bicester/banbury cells
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Wow and i wrote today off thinking the pressures too high.. was woken up to really close strike from a storm that seemed to come out of nowhere! I should've checked the forecst skew-Ts, figured CAPE would be llimited by a mid level temperature inversion but clearly that wasn't in place. Reckon this could pretty interesting year
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1 hour ago, convector said:
just looked out the window
wasn't expecting to see anything convective today. Any chance these could turn thundery? Profiles look limited in height
no? not interesting enough
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Storms and Convective discussion - November 2023 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
I appreciate your response, it was informative. i just wonder why you didnt say this earlier