Selliso

Looks like the Irish Sea is pepping up again - one to watch?

A light flurry just passed by here in Loggerheads, looks like we might be clipped by a couple more shows coming through on a line from the Wirral. MetO has us under something more substantial around 7pm.

I'm between Market Drayton and Stoke on Trent - radar has shown ppn over us for over an hour, but absolutely nothing has fallen from the sky here...

Rise rate perhaps slowing now, Northenden station also now less than an inch from its highest recorded level

Looks like it’s smashed through the 2000 record and still rising

They are using it to highlight that Needles is an exposed location

If you read the information in the warning, I think it describes the timing quite well...

Plenty of warnings along the storm's path beyond the UK

"Middle of the day" for worst of the forecasted wind impacts along South coast and South East.

Day out indeed - looking at the traffic, it could take a day to get there!

Any ideas on what this feature coming into North Wales is doing? I'm not sure I saw this modelled anywhere... unexpected trough?

This has Stoke written all over it.

I've been watching this too - can't quite make out what it is vs expected front locations - I think it's heading south of my location but looks on track to head towards Birmingham. Perhaps a surprise or two in store! A lot of cloud ahead of this - gone from clear skies to compeltely cloudy in the last 30 mins.

Ref the North Sea, there is quite a bit more of it to gain moisture than the Irish Sea. The beafy showers from the Irish Sea would require specific conditions, inc. wind speed and direction. If drawing directly down from the Atlantic and through the North Channel, Manchester / Cheshire / Staffs can do well in this set up. Orographic augmentation kicks in quickly over north west England, often allowing light / limited shower activity at the coast to build into more meaningful showers quite quickly - benefitting Huddersfield more than Rochdale!