Jump to content

Brucie

Members
  • Content Count

    19
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

32

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Northallerton, N Yorks

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. Here in the NE of N Yorkshire, it has been a poor summer. Aside from a few nice days, it has been noticeable for the lack of sunshine and a lot of rain. A lot to do with the relatively southerly jet stream, IMO. Indeed, these last few days have taken a turn for the worse with yet more rain and gloom. Bring back spring! David in Northallerton
  2. High pressure is not likely to be 'sat' to our north or northeast: it is likely to be 'sitting' to our north or northeast. Grrr...even the professionals are getting sucked in by the modern state of grammar! This aside, I have never known as much chopping and changing as frequently as this from the Met Office. David
  3. Yes, I have been thinking of other variables that might be prompting doubts on this SSW propagating down into the troposphere and I did self-moot the fact that we are in the process of transferring into a wQBO, which may be an obstacle to complete propagation. However, one would think that there would a lag of a few months (4 or 5 months) from the start of transition in the uppermost layers of the stratosphere to the wQBO affecting the tropospheric patterns. The fact that we are having another major SSW taking place so soon after the SSW in February this year leads me to contemplate th
  4. Finding it fascinating following the sun's activity during its descent into solar minimum. The latest uninterrupted run of spotless days (15) must be one of the longest yet in this cycle and we are almost inevitably going to exceed 200 days this year now. I struggle to understand why, if the sun is our main global energy driver, I have not heard more about the increasingly low solar activity as a natural factor in the current reports about climate change. Anyway, how deep will be the solar minimum go when it's here!! David
  5. The weather looks to be stuck in a rut over the next week or so and quite benign too away from the N & W. Dare I say mild or very mild too! I guess this is typical of a jetstream which is meandering wildly and is weak in nature. It can't stay mild and dry for the rest of November...or can it?? Oh...I'm hunting for cold too but we have winter to come. David
  6. I share other people's fear on here that these amazing synoptics for cold have maybe come a bit too early...but you never know. It has been a strange year for weather & something has definitely impacted upon the coupling up of the stratospheric and tropospheric vortex in recent years. Looking at the charts, I can see there's a lot of Alaskan / Aleutian high pressure reaching right into the Arctic. Is this what we should be watching for in the next few weeks if we want a continued disruption of the polar vortex & a possibility of a canadian warming? TIA David, Northaller
  7. Just had a very heavy snow shower here (lasted about 10 mins but settled very easily as it's so cold, -3c). Plenty more snow to come by the looks of things. How things have changed down here n the space of 45 mins!
  8. Things looking more promising down here now...shower incoming and wind gusting.
  9. Lovely day here in Northallerton (just on border of Yorkshire/E England and North East - in which forum do I post?? lol). Hopefully we'll get more shower activity again later as I am getting withdrawal symptoms.
  10. If only this was January??! All models are firming up on agreement with this easterly flow. If / when it does occur, it will be one of these very rare (relative to the old days) very cold easterlies and we will definitely know about it! The prospect of ice days in late Feb is highly unusual. We may even get more than 2" of snow from this here in Northallerton. David
  11. One of the recurring themes so far this winter has been for the Azores high to be displaced further in the Atlantic and to ridge up towards Greenland when opportunity arises. This is undoubtedly because of a weather pattern much more susceptible to amplification than recent winters (could low solar activity be partly to do with this??). Because of this, I cannot see a flat W-E jetstream take hold across the Atlantic any time soon. Now with the Siberian/Russian/Scandi high in play, this will add extra notion to my (hopeful) idea that the Azores high can ridge up to Greenland and eventually (
  12. I actually think we have not had any very mild spells of weather this November, unlike a lot of recent Novembers. It is usual to get some very mild weather at some point. This potential mild weather is not forecast to be prolonged though and if it is to remain unsettled, then I can foresee a polar maritime airflow continuing into the start of winter, particularly as the Azores high seems to be displaced further N in the Atlantic currently. Cold, ice and snow can wait for the winter months. David
  13. Thank you for your reply Yarmy. I always access solarham.net/solarflux.htm but the table does not populate. Does it work for you?
  14. Talking of Penticton readings, I used to be able to access the Penticton daily readings on Solarham but am no longer able to. The table of daily stats. is not populated any more. How can I access these readings? Thanks in advance David
  15. ....but with an E-QBO this winter and the anomalous warmth in the Arctic, will the vortex be on 'steriods' this winter when/if it does couple with the troposphere, and will it be more vulnerable than in times of W-QBO to attacks from above and/or below? Questions, questions...!! Davd
×
×
  • Create New...