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Frostbite1980

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Everything posted by Frostbite1980

  1. Frostbite1980
    Im not sure this low heading further south is nailed just yet. Still the scenario of it heading a little further north then moving SE..... that would be a dream synoptic.
  2. Frostbite1980
    GFS has the low a little further north at 96h
  3. Frostbite1980
    It is in, and apart from this low pushing up from the SW it looks predominantly dry unless you live in coastal regions or in northern Scotland....I know there could be a few surprises and troughs etc but that is certainly not guaranteed. If this cold spell was to end with the majority of the country snowless, it would be such a downer (weatherwise) for most.
  4. Frostbite1980
    Same as mate, low pushing north bringing snow and then sinking SE bringing in an easterly and convective snowfall, not too much to ask is it?
  5. Frostbite1980
    The AL is looking a little less intense on the 12z GFS @96, that has to be a good sign this early on....
  6. Frostbite1980
    Surely if this run continues the low would move towards Northern Italy bringing colder 850's in from the east?
  7. Frostbite1980
    Agreed - But to be fair MOGREPS only has 17 ens whereas GFS has 30........whether that would make a difference is anyones guess!!
  8. Frostbite1980
    Some lovely ens at 192, just a few I have cherry picked.
  9. Frostbite1980
    That would take all the fun out of it though
  10. Frostbite1980
    GFS delaying the colder 850s this time round
  11. Frostbite1980
    I will take Perb 22 please I know its cherry picking but what a run and shows what could be possible!!
  12. Frostbite1980
    The control is nice and looks as though it is going to be cold throughout
  13. Frostbite1980
    Thanks Blue have no idea why i thought it was......still a poop run though lol
  14. Frostbite1980
    If the Para was the op on this run we would all be pulling our hair out as it is shocking in the mid to late timeframe to the point, we have a raging positive NAO. More runs needed I feel.........i won't be happy until Friday at the earliest if the ECM or anything like it is still showing the same runs as it has recently.
  15. Frostbite1980
    It will feel bitter, especially at night under those slack conditions.....hoar frost and freezing fog with temperatures struggling to get above freezing.....
  16. Frostbite1980
    Is that low west of Spain going to scupper things or maybe bring a nice draw from the E/NE.....
  17. Frostbite1980
    And look at that trough over the states pumping WAA up the western side of Greenland
  18. Frostbite1980
    If the high pulls away from scandi towards greenland there some fridgid air coming straight from the arctic with our name on it.
  19. Frostbite1980
    Kicking off in Kent now
  20. Frostbite1980
    Nice storm NE Portsmouth just fired up out of no where.
  21. Frostbite1980
    Really? More N/NE i would say
  22. Frostbite1980
    Showers already starting to gather to the SW right on queue now its a matter of watching to see when/if they electrify
  23. Frostbite1980
    Do they just use the output from the ECM?
  24. Frostbite1980
    While the sun shines and i sit in the garden with a very, very nice glass of red wine, the weather gods best not give us a cold spring. Even me a coldie doesnt want that right now. Next winter is to chase the cold and snow!!
  25. Frostbite1980
    I think any changes will be made after tomorrow nights ECM. It will be interesting to see if the 18z GFS lowers the mean as considerably as the ECM has this evening. Not long to find out.
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