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ghoneym

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Methil, Fife
  • Weather Preferences
    Baltic

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  1. Very windy down by the river Leven where it enters the Firth of forth, tide not fully in yet a don't think but the waves are picking up and I'd imagine will be toppling the wall at some point soon, quite common for here and the swimming pool(just to the right outside the picture) often gets a flooded basement 🏊🐠😂
  2. @Kirkcaldy Weather I tried to PM you but keeps saying you cant receive messages??
  3. A think the thistle oil rig in the north sea has just taken off....must be a fault, surely
  4. @Kirkcaldy Weather its midweek and look whats now starting to show up...
  5. @Kirkcaldy Weather I will PM you with some stuff soon 👍
  6. looking further ahead for more Snaw chances.....as mentioned by @Kirkcaldy Weather a day or so ago, the MJO is in prime phase and forecast to move from phase 7 to 6 then back to 7 again. This gives us more chance of an Atlantic ridge or Scandinavian blocking. The NAO has a much greater % chance of being negative in these phases however the models are not showing this on their output, why? I personally think the SSW downwelling and the effect of the Canadian vortex lobe draining into the Eastern US has trumped standard pattern drivers and thwarted our chances somewhat of the "standard" pattern emerging for the current MJO phases. Thankfully the Canadian Vortex has now started to recede somewhat and will have less of an influence downstream into the Atlantic. So I suppose that begs the question will things improve for us in terms of overall blocking pattern and snow potential? I'm thinking yes and the models will start showing this potential by the middle or end of next week. Teleconnections this winter so far have took a bit of a beating as things have not worked out quite as expected and the overall pattern will need to be carefully analysed to determine why. Even right now the torques and AAM are doing strange things, ~Mountain torque remains high with frictional torque low forcing AAM for longer than expected given the overall momentum budget, things should have started easing off a bit allowing the atmosphere to slow its pace (Imo this then allows for a more wave jet stream allowing the blocking patterns to take hold) This doesn't mean we should dismiss teleconnections as 9/10 times they are the best indication of how an overall pattern longer term will pan out. So a few more days of modelling miseerableness then back to something of a bit more interest. Dont get me wrong here we have done ok in terms of snow and cold, even the far south of the UK has seen some but the potential is there for more and us low level Fifers are snow starved and want some Snaw!! Some charts for consideration while reading the post.
  7. Raining here in the east of Fife 🙄☔😭
  8. Radar watching at work pal, look g prime for a wee dusting at least 👍
  9. I will be keeping the forum informed of my weather adventures for sure! 😎
  10. @Kirkcaldy Weather Scandi heights are going to become a more prominent feature in the next few weeks I feel. As you say the MJO phase is favourable for some HLB. Hoping for some serious snaw this month as from the start of March until mid June I will be in Texas for work and will miss any March madness here 😪 Will be keeping a keen eye on the Radar this evening on the nightshift and I think there will be a chance of some fleeting snow showers anywhere from Aberdeen down the coast to the borders.
  11. netatmo live map, not sure how accurate these are, placement of the outside module is really important obviously, a fair bit of variation
  12. Were in Leven nowadays but obviously close enough to Methil but just rain here today, I was working at Cowdenbeath and we had quite a decent snow shower this morning for a few hours from 7 to 9, didn't last long and turned to mush by midday 🙄
  13. Its wet bulb temperature, its too high. It needs to be at freezing or below. Quick math - say its 3.5 degrees in Glasgow centre - relative humidity 91% currently (from netatmo live map) - Then dew point is 2.2 deg C - to work out wet bulb we need the dew point depression so - temperature minus dew point = 1.3 - you then divide this number by 3 = 0.4333 - and subtract from the actual temperature - so your sitting at approx 3 deg C wet bulb temp. Not cold enough for snow. This is the problem our sothern friends will have tommorow also.
  14. The direction of travel is very important in what your talking about, probably a more NW flow rather than a direct Westerly flow. you've probably heard of a Squall before and that's short sharp burst of wind and precip that last minutes rather than seconds. So It is possible yes but like a say direction is important for a strike on Edinburgh area. I work at the jetty at Braefoot Bay on the ships occasionally and the Squalls we experience during winter can be excruciating, yet 6 mile away in say Cowdenbeath, they have very light wind, light precip.
  15. Wednesday, Am through to PM
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