conor123

Clear skies here bar the haze obviously, erupt god dammit.

So predictable, zzzz highest CAPE etc over us yet it's the cells over the east that stay alive.

Still a big old load of sweet nothing here, the Worcester cell has classic sliding 5-10 miles east of here syndrome written all over it, unless something explodes SW of here there's no hope

Didn't even get a storm then here, dodged us by 5 miles :lol: Even a light shower right now would be better than nothing, anything to break this unbearable humidity.

I was on about in general, always start over Central Southern England and head into the East Mids, East Anglia since 2009 rather than exploding over Wales/SW England and moving into the Midlands like the good old days.

Nay, it's now or never, need more of a SE wind, there's literally nothing to the south west of us, I swear storms could be just forecast over Ireland and they'd still end up over the South East, incredibly frustrating considering just 2 days ago it really looked a pretty special 36-48hrs.

Oh my gosh as if it's happening again, pretty obvious the way this is going, East East East East as always.

What a surprise big fat last minute downgrades for the storms, South East and East Mids take all as usual, no convection to speak of here, I guess even if this miracle month some things never change.

Convection seems to be going wild over Wales now, if only this haze would shift, finally brightened up but visibility is limited to about 2-3km.

Heatwave ended after Friday here, 22c on Saturday and 19.9c yesterday with thick north sea muck, same again today so far with little sign of brightness.

Ufgh the North Sea grot holding film for a third day running and rather cool again to, 17.9c, definitely no 29/30c today now!, was expecting wall to wall sunshine today then convective potential later but typical if this grot doesn't lift that any convective opportunities will be squashed.

Good riddance to a truly foul day, 19.9c the high, the worst in a long time, cloud did miraculously dissapear this evening but to little to late. Very exciting 36 hours ahead, feels quite odd the prospect of such a hot, thundery day tomorrow after such a cool and grim day. The rest of the week looks pretty nice now to, after all the worries of a breakdown to 'the Atlantic gates' it looks like staying decent for the foreseeable future with plenty of sunshine and warmth mixed with some convective potential.

Looks pretty good for a plume type event Monday Night to me still, to be fair despite the 'breakdown' it's looking a decent week, still 22-24c behind the cold front with plenty of sunshine and convective potential. GFS also going for, admittedly isolated, thunderstorms tomorrow evening/night in the west of the region. In the meantime the muck has hit this morning although it's stayed bright and the sun's breaking through from time to time, very warm again last night, didn't drop below 17.1c!

Is it to early to be getting excited for our first potential storm here in years?! After missing out by 5 miles on the end of June one's last year which seemed to hit everywhere in a 100 mile radius but here Monday Night/Tuesday surely has to be the one to break the curse! i'd love a good late evening/night time storm like the ones of 1st May 2005 and 2nd July 2006 again especially! both of which had hours and hours of spectacular lightning. Off to Cyprus next weekend to so escaping just as the Atlantic mush returns :lol:

Wish it would hit here, flat calm and house is like an oven, amazing the difference when we don't have that Cheshire Gap breeze, from 16-18c at this time of night last week to still 22.9c now! Disappointing though that the north sea muck looking certain for all the region tomorrow, you'd think by this time of year it wouldn't be an issue, *should* hopefully burn back in the afternoon though, same for Sunday.

Woop warmest day since July 2006 today!!!!! maxed out at 29.2c with rich blue skies, strong sunshine and little cloud, still awaiting that 'easterly strong breeze', had very little breeze all day bar a few rogue gusts but felt considerably less humid to yesterday. Incredible thunder potential next week, if those charts can't break our 5 year no proper storms curse then nothing will.

Warmest night of the year last night, low of 16.8c, already 25.4c at the moment and the richest blue sky of this hot spell so far, still yet to have much of a breeze though so 28c on the cards again.

Definitely warmest night of this spell tonight, still 20.5c.

Still 26.1c here, warmest evening of this spell so far, some 6c warmer than this time yesterday, amazing how much different it makes when we don't have the evening Cheshire Gap breeze. ECM a scorcher although both it and UKMO keep easterly winds which would keep any thundery potential south, ECM would bring 26-31c right the way out to 240hrs!

Seems to be a trend to breakdown from the South West though at least rather than the high moving west like we usually get. Monday looking good for the SW of the region at the moment but it may well trend further south west.

28.5c max here in the end just about beating last Saturday's max, utterly incredible GFS 12z with a massive thundery breakdown next Thursday in 30/31c heat, now that would be perfect. Certainly notable hotter feel this eve without that breeze to cool things off, warmest night of this spell seems probable tonight.

Hovering around 28c now, a distinct lack of breeze today so the air feels very heavy and thundery but the buildup of CU there was is fizzling away again now.

Some convective cloud around now, unfortunately the arrival of easterlies will stop the chance of those nice refreshing evening Cheshire Gap breezes we've had thus far this week. 27.3c now, just another degree to go to beat Saturdays value.

Definitely on course for the hottest day here, the temperature's really on a mission after a low of 12.8c it's already 25.5c now!

Gorgeous day again today, maxed out at 26.4c, freshening Cheshire Gap breeze again this eve, now 17.7c. Could next week finally break the no proper storms for 5 years curse?? not going to get my hopes up to much yet but certainly some promise, in the meantime glorious tomorrow and Friday but weekend dependent on what time the North Sea muck burns off as it seems it will extend all the way to Wales.