Methuselah
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Posts posted by Methuselah
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The anomaly on that chart at the bottom of this post looks like somewhat the description given of the SST cold anomaly during June 1972. Above average above 60N and below 40N with below average in between from Newfoundland to Ireland.
But is it cyclical? Can we infer that summer 2015 will be as ghastly as 1972 was? I do hope not!
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But I do love heavy rain and thunderstorms - especially at night!
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You live in the SE. Enough said.
And in 2006, I was in the Northwest Highlands of Scotland. 'Nuff said?
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Well it's certainly 'dire' today...Wall-to-wall sunshine, hardly a breath of wind, and around 21C. What do peeps want?
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Aye, BBC Radio 4's lunchtime forecast also warned of 'rain and thunderstorms' for later this week. Here's hoping!
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High pressure is never far away in summer and even if we do get a unsettled spot, it doesn't last long and things often settle down before you know it.
I agree: just don't mention 2012, eh?
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Yes it's quite interesting that no clear signal has yet emerged. As far as I can see the difference between the GFS and ECM ops runs this morning vis the end of next week reflects the difference in last night's anomalies. Plus even taking the GFS this trouphing is apparently very transitory.
I'm wondering whether the current ENSO-situation might be playing havoc with the model predictions? The do all seem to be somewhat haphazard in their respective outputs...
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Anyone seen this, it's about hail from this mornings storms. Don't ask me why they call it a tropical storm mind lol.
Now that, alexis, is a question I've been asking, since the 1960s...As yet, no answer has been forthcoming!
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Is Barendweer anywhere near Beccles?
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sorry ED, bad day and all that.
fixed.
No probs. I missed-out more times last year than I can count!
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No thunder not much in a party mood, sick of the self opinionated on here.
Enjoy the party !
That's a wee bitty uncalled for, Dami...Are we not all a bit self opinionated?
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Another cracker of a run from the UKMO, the high builds and settles right over the UK with warmth being pumped up from the south.
Increasingly sunny and warm if this verified.
Very different even at 4/5 days out to the GFS. Whilst the low is further west it still stalls and eventually pushes back north towards the UK, bring some heavy and thundery rain to the south with a cold and brisk wind.
Who knows how things are going to pan out. Until the UKMO can garner some support, it remains the outside solution.
That almost sounds too good to be true...Warm sunshine or thunderstorms - take your pick?
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Still very humid, over here. Just waiting for the cold front to pass over.
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The heat seems very localised, it seems to be the far east of East Anglia and Kent which is where the thunderstorms are currently rolling around. Currently 27C at Southend airport whilst no other weather station gets close as cloud and cooler air pushes in from the west.
Will it collide with the thundery stuff that seems to be encroaching from the east? Heavy straw-clutch!
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not sure how? im out on site in south east London and is only 21c here.
It can happen, CM: sometime back in the late '60s, MK was a cold and wet 15C; Kent, meanwhile, was a steamy 30.5C.
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Things do seem to be brewing-up, CS.
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May and June 1983 were also crap; July and August were a different matter, however. Summer's only just into its 5th day...
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Awesome skyline to my East, just a row of stunning Cbs.
Had started to drive down but something told me to stay at home...either I'd crash on the way down there or drive for 2 hours and miss it all anyway...or, something may still fire here.
Sky awash again with Ac (some AcCas) and latest temp reading I have of 26C.
Similar skies from here, Harry. It's as if the eastward line has sparked-off again?
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Aye, Steve: just watched it from the Tesco car park...Water everywhere!
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We could be in for a good night!
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Based on that it does seem El Nino has some correlation with poorer/cooler June's but a better July and August.
Thanks for that, ET; it's what I'd thought I'd read, or heard, somewhere too. I just wish I could remember where.
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Looks like it...
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Well unfortunately the answer is no.
But that's Scotty.
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I sometimes wonder why I bother to read the model output thread - it's the same year in year out (usually in Winter and Summer) with people falling into the same old trap of looking too far ahead for the weather that THEY want, then whining, arguing and bickering when the weather shown in the models for ten to fourteen days hence doesn't come to pass .....
No sooner to the (excellent) mods stamp out the nonsense, up pops a post showing a supposed heatwave two weeks away .......... <sigh>
It's such a pity as the model thread would be great without all of the hopecasting and the inevitable toys thrown out of prams.
No, Buzz - I don't know either. Why don't you just pees off?
Model Output Discussion - 1st June 2015 12z--------->
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
But we all do, don't we???