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Methuselah

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Everything posted by Methuselah

  1. lawrenk Indeed -- and the thing that worries me is the annual occurrence of excessive heat building over West Africa. . .
  2. Anyway, you can always predict when days of knee-jerk reactions and wildly optimistic ramping have turned out to be less than accurate, it'll all be the fault of the ECM, the GFS or the UKMET. . . When, at the end of the day, our weather is not beholden to anything or anyone, but to itself.
  3. Just as the experts in the MAD thread are saying the Met. Office will need to adjust their warning they have: if you watch this week's Deep Dive, they've shunted it north a tad, in response to the latest model runs. . .
  4. danm But the Madsters already have their measuring sticks out!
  5. NewEra21 But that's not the ECM's fault; neither models nor the Met. Office makes the weather. . .
  6. I think today's MAD thread treatises can be summarised thus: North a bit; south a bit; west a bit; east a bit. Bernie, the bolt:
  7. raz.org.rain My newspaper has snow at 8-9C on Saturday. I guess warm snow is better than cold rain, eh?
  8. WYorksWeathe: I'm seldom ironic with AGW -- you'd be amazed at the number of times callers to radio stations cite the MWP as proof that AGW is all a scam.
  9. I've just checked my local BBC forecast and, lo and behold, not a single snow symbol out to Feb. 17. My level of excitement is therefore not as high as the Madsters!
  10. Decoding the Weather Machine: a very good, and readily understandable PBS/Nova special:
  11. Wingman Blu: And what does an early spring in Pennsylvania mean for us? How the flock would I know! And I'm also glad that my address isn't in Gobblers Knob -- which sounds like an STD!
  12. raz.org.rain: And that's not all that's about to be thrown out!
  13. Ali1977: And, what with the modern propensity for going from one extreme to the other (19.9C in January being one such extreme) I wouldn't be all that surprised were it to verify, in one form or another.
  14. RJ Bingham: A 1947 redux is on the cards -- again!
  15. I tried to make sense of the latest iteration of the quote menu, but as it's changed umpteen times in the past few days, I haven't a clue as to what's going on. . . Other than to suggest 'shades of 50 million years BC'!
  16. MJB MJB In the medium term, yes; in the longer term, no. But then it never does, that far out.
  17. This week's Ten-Day Trend has something for everyone but, by mid-February, confidence drops off:
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