what I do not understand with the models (somebody much better than me may be able to explain) is...they all start on the same day with the exact same pattern on earth for that day. they get the same information added yet can be so different at 72hrs that after that period nothing makes sense to the average person. we then look for our desired weather pattern and when we find it then "that one must be correct" I get that they have different resolutions and parameters but I don't think I've ever seen such a mess with over amplification etc in the last 18months, with failed summer plumes and bust cold from high level blocking. has somthing changed within this time frame with these systems? or is it the case of over reliance on over smart technology actually trying to make things too specific.(sorry for the long post but I seem to have struggled more in last 12 months with models than I have in last 6yrs)