Paul Sherman

This is worth a read A paper I wrote on the 1st/2nd February 2009 Event which still stings even to this day

Will have a look for it in the archives

Nah the flow was quite a lot slacker than this event, and we had an Inversion on that occasion, this event looks to last a lot longer as well

You might need to change your avatar text after Thursday Southender

Darren yep you need to change your Profile location, Surrey will get buried by the Great Blizzard of the 1-2nd March 2018 anyway

Very Similar to here for that spell, started early on the Tuesday and snowed until the Thursday evening with 34cm of level snow and 5ft drifts.

Am seriously looking forward to the Thundersnow! That muffled sound and electric blue lightning is like nothing else experienced. When it was occuring on the 17th December 2010 overhead people in Maidstone could see the same strikes

I have a feeling we will see at least 1 Red warning next week. My guess would be Tuesday or Wednesday for SE Parts and Friday or Saturday for something coming up from the South West

Drizzle here with Temp of 4.2c Dewpoint of 2.8c Wind Light from the North

Good job its for London Ontario and not the Uk

If I was being conservative. Sat and Sun light flurries with nothing really to worry about accumalation wise. As you say Mon to Thursday should see the decent powder and with 1:3 ratios even showers dumping 2mm at a time will let 6cm of Snow fall in a small timeframe. I really cant see streamers favouring spots this time with a real rash of showers marching westwards all over East Anglia and SE England

Yh Unfortunately that was down to an Inversion over the Coast of Essex and Suffolk which thankfully this time surely cannot be there for 4-5 days. Remember that 2009 spell and Red Warning was only really for 36 hours. It was gut wrenching though seeing the Radar blips showing heavy snow and nothing but Polystyrene balls falling and blowing away. As the Cloud Tops moved West South West the Cb's gained even more height rising to 35,000ft over London and punching through the Inversion which was sitting at 15-20,000ft stunting the growth on the Coast. Thats why we love the weather, fascinating things like that happening

Evening Mr Murr Me and the boys and girls at this end of the Estuary are usually the first to taste the Powder when these Synoptics come around so we will be reporting in when the first flakes fall and send them on their merry way towards the Smoke with love from the East Coast

Actually edit that ECM getting its act together now, Day 5 (Sunday into Monday) looks the start at T120 That HAS been consistent for the past 3 days which is a good thing

Has it come into the Day 6-10 yet Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Fest ECM And yes 2013 must have passed the Sub Tropical area of SE Essex by as cant remember that spell as well. Only notables here have been Feb 2005 and Feb 2009 and December 2010 this Century

Day 6-10 I think Lassie If we get expected watering down the Mad thread is going to be well ........................MAD

March CET record must be under threat if this comes to pass ? Going to be interesting

Oh it can, have seen them go wrong at T72

Daniel I was born in 1972 The 1987 Snow was incredible because I was at school and it simply shut for 1 week due to the depth of the snowdrifts. 1991 I had literally just passed my Driving test and started working in London. I drove to Upminster Station went to work that morning, think it was a thursday or a friday, they sent us home at 1pm and by the time I got to Upminster the train could not get any further east due to drifting further east. I then went to my Car an old Mark 3 Escort and that was the first time I had driven in the snow, I kid you not I like most people just abandoned the car and walked home. Good luck mate but dont take any silly risks, have already told my 18 year old she wont be driving to college next week if it comes as expected, not worth the risk

So ECM brings in -15c into Kent and Essex on the 12z and GFS says Not having that I raise you a -17c into Kent Crikey!

Nah - I think this one will affect a much wider audience, that cold pool was quite small in comparison to this one, this does have a real look of 1987 to it must admit. Add to that the strength of the sun enhancing those showers and anywhere could cop a massive dumping really from Kent, Sussex across to Hampshire and the Estaury westwards along with further north of our region over Suffolk, Norfolk and westwards into Beds Herts and Midlands. The only thing putting me off at the moment is I have a nagging feeling this could still drop too far south into France, Spain etc. Hope I am wrong and everything falls into place

Sleet ?

I would say so yes, looks like they are expecting a push up from the SW into the Block.

Yep ECM finally smelling the coffee and we now have everyone aboard the happy ship, all ready to sail now