rain_shadow

Not a huge fan for excessive weather warnings, especially for rain but this one would merit a yellow, surely? Ridiculous. Flooded roads everywhere.

Wouw. Sunshine. Of course it was not forecasted for the morning, one could not make it up, failed meto forecast for just T+12 hours...

baddie yes, just fog in still air is somewhat romantic, but this is a constant low cloud with a haze by this horrid Helm wind like breeze, as most frequent this time - honestly it was better weather in January...

Two words: absolute crap

we need a smile button

To save time this week, I just check how many users are on the MOD thread, if <100, outlook for coldies is dire. 120 ok, 150+ wow. Only takes 10 sec to know the weather next week. (this only works during the day )

So far, zero wind and 100% sunshine this year in North-East Wales..

Already out in North Wales sadly and fortunately 12 C be max temp even in April which prolongs phenological phases.

Finally got rid of Gerrit... was about time.

No excuse! Taxodium colours are so striking it can cause an illusion of a painting on water (University of Liverpool, Ness Botanic Gardens) .

Taken on the 23rd of Dec at midday, near us (North Wales). Only forced by the weather, always early but was never THIS early before.. Happy Springmas! VID_20231223_123431.mp4

Larch leaves usually drop in November, yellow or golden and sensitive to wind, that's why I thought this is Taxodium distichum or Metasequoia glyptostroboides

Taxodium distichum or Swamp Cypress - in all likelyhood. They often keep the foliage until mid Dec..

-6 at 3am, -2 at 10.30, this level of cold won't come back next week.

There you go, in St Asaph, 1pm. Precip intensity cooled air temp to 0C quickly. Shame part of it will form ice tho. VID_20221210_125506.mp4

"Don't worry, it is just a hoax!"

Sorry Nick, if it came down like that, I did not mean to compare the two (trust me, I understand the difference) and did not say they are clueless. I merely pointed out that the forecast changes as the model output changes so anything can happen mid term (it is still true that this weeks sunny days forecast on uk level was a failure - I should have mentioned it in the moans thread). This however is nothing to do with the macrosynoptics of course. I am grateful to be able to learn from all of you here.

I know. but it won't last forever was my main message there and even the BBC forecasters cannot confidently say what will happen in 3 weeks time. I just pointed out on a separate note that "the experts" were unable to predict the cloud cover just 1 day ahead - the lack of sunshine is frustrating for some.

Oh the BBC FORECAST...They could not correctly forecast this week on Monday, never mind next week. What happened to the sunny days with frost? 1 day sun on Wed and then low cloud is back. I did not hear them to say sorry. The models are changing from run to run as the cold air in Central Eu generates mediterranean cyclones which are unpredictable. Probably the next run will be colder again. I can only repeat the mantra: "More patience needed." Often, big surprises just pop out of "nowhere". Did we see the BFTE last year this time? No.

No but if it hits someone, and is widespread, it is at least "be prepared" for goodness sake. 85-120km/h gusts for 6-8 hours. Yellow. Really?

A foot thick branches coming off in North Wales. Yellow warning? - how utterly ridiculous... and we pay the wages of these guys...

The end of the muck....approaching from the NW. Finally.

When we will have a sunny day next? Yesterday: cloudy, day before: cloudy, last week: cloudy, the week before: cloudy. oh and today: guess what! - cloudy. No matter which wind direction is, even after this front: low cloud/medium level cloud. bbc: "britghter conditions to follow on Wednesday" -that can mean anything, what a genius forecast in 2018... Ramp over, waiting for the sun.

and that rain band has the shape of the uk...

Those bbc automated cloud forecasts worth nothing. Sun will come out soon!