[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Surely the radar just broke 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

temp dropped sharply here in Yarm  

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

radar looks good for Teesside in 30 mns time 

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

the gfs  from this morning showed most of england under  -11 uppers but it is milder than it should be and i have had rain recently.  but then the new gfs 6pm comes out and the uppers are now -10 instead of the -11 . how can these things change , it is like the morning prediction was incorrect only a few hrs later. 

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

sorry i posted averag temps but this is max temps 

[Model thread discussion - cold spell looming]

can you believe these amazing max temperatures , it reminds me of when i was 14 in 1979 

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

Sorry looking at last nights radar temps 

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

I don’t understand the east is under -11 uppers but looking on the radar with temps everywhere is positive temps , mostly 3 c plus . Why is it not colder 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Sea breeze interesting , it is now 1.8 c , nothing falling now 

[February cold spell discussion and chat]

Many on here get excited when we have minus 11 uppers and talk of snow . However currently where I live 12 miles inland from coast it is rainy with temp of 1.7 c and the uppers are -11 c . We really need for low ground ( majority ) pretty cold air to get snow . Will the east coast really see snow on the models this week or is the bbc correct sleet 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Well it is rainy sleet in YArm near Middlesbrough . I do worry that the temps are not low enough currently 1.6 c 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

It is poor that the weather forcast is sleet and snow , you woudl think with -10c uppers sleet should be out of the question , but i have seen this before . however if we have -11c uppers as forecast there shoudl be snow on the beaches 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Rdt,

 

I too am in YArm , it will be snow if we are at -10 uppers . My worry is will we be sheltered by the mountain range ne t to us and get little ppt.

it is too early to use the charts to see how much pot from Sunday onwards , but if max temps are 1 c all week then it will be frozen 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

phil blake 

 

the north sea is mostly 5 and 6 C not 6 and 7 , which is really pretty cold . 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

BLUE ARMY 

 

here in the north east of England i am looking forward to the beast from the east which is just about there with the GFS . 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Guys how can we not like this  an easterly with snow , surely this is  the holy grail , but at the moment for northern half of uk . if you are in the north east this is something special 

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Watching the gfs this morning , surely this is great for most of the east of the uk , but many on here seem down this morning , don’t get it , unless you live in the west . Also the south east gets hit hard with snow from the front coming up from south east .

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

Mike honestly widespread 6 C over most of lower part of north sea is usually seen in February and not January , so it is a bit colder , but if we get  super cold air in an easterly as may be comming i think we all will be happy . I recall i think 1978 or 79 with a stiff easterly mid february when Newcastle was cut off and i got stuck at school . The army was called out .  Will we see that again thi february with the modesl showing great potential 

[Model output discussion 24/01/21]

SST  North sea 

 

i do not post much , but every month in winter I watch the north sea temperatures and tonight there have been quite a few comments on the north sea temperatures. 

I have no doubt that the SST for north sea at the moment is colder than average .  However some of you have shown graphs with anomaly warmer and others colder . you need to see what is the comparison . if the comparison is to 1971-2000 then we are about in line but for the period post 2000 we are colder no doubt.  Usually we see temps of around 5 c in  march , not in late January for parts of North sea.

I reckon with the temps being still low we will see the sst  get lower and this will make east cost weather more snowy and less marginal in february.

 

 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Never seen such a temperature drop before 6 c to 0.6 in no time , white on ground moderate snow amazing 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

What a trip in temperature 6 c to 0.7 c 

[Yorkshire and E England regional discussion]

Massive drop in temperature in Middlesbrough 6 c to 0.7 in a few hrs heavy sleet . Incredible drop 

[Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards]

when do UKMo and ECM  come out with there next  model forecast 

sorry to ask this question 

[Model output discussion - Into 2021]

Blue army let’s hope . Can not believe the change in models this late , can GFS be that wrong 

[Model output discussion - Into 2021]

Blue army .

 

that graph shows box and whisker plots , so minus 15c is an outlier , ie a mistake