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Everything posted by Gazza H
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Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...
Gazza H replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
Nice days snowsports up at glenshee today, snow a tad hard in places but overall conditions excellent! -1 deg c, slightly overcast, not a breath of wind -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2015/2016
Gazza H replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Whats meant by reversal Blizzard?- 1,200 replies
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Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
ok so theres a link in the strat thread as well but thought I'd share here as well seeing as it will have an effect on the model outputs. Judah cone's latest update and I for one think its good news for coldies. Link to the full update ....... https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Weather in the general media (Newspaper features etc)
Gazza H replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Theres 524 miles between east lothian in Scotland and the channel islands yet the are in the same place on the league table for minimum temps! Just goes to show that weather can be strange, intriguing, unexpected and down right impossible sometimes. -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would say the current weather is typically seasonal. A SSW would increase the chances of a much longer sustained cold spell -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2015/2016
Gazza H replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
The serious warming I'm seeing on the GFS models keep pushing out further in towards February, but this tweet has given renewed hope.- 1,200 replies
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Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Im having the same problem at +54 -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So wee tropical eck heads north towards SW greenland picking up plenty cloud/moisture on the way. The "tail whip" from wee eck would be carried by the strong jet straight over the UK by sunday. The 850's look good, the minimum temps look good, would this be a snow dump? Be gentle I'm new to this -
Model output discussion pm 13/01/2016
Gazza H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ok so as a new guy to this I've took on the advice of "wait until the cold kicks in" to let the models settle down and then come to easier conclusions. So now the cold's here I'm non the wiser, the three main models seem to have been thrown off by the tropical cyclone Alex? Would I be correct in assuming that once this cyclone has passed up into Greenland, as predicted that model outputs should start to "settle" as such and be more of a close run thing? Cheers guys n Gals, I'm always lurching in the background learning massive amounts every day in here, keep up the great posts! -
Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...
Gazza H replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
GFS precip charts showing a chance of snow from 18:00 tomorrow through until midnight, could be sleet tho, depends how low ground temps get, 850's look good for it to me, where in fife are you? -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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thats just rubbing it in that is!
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks good for down south out on Monday, i'l take this all day long, props won't materialise those 850's have been changeable over the the last few days -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2015/2016
Gazza H replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
to be honest I'm just looking to see the vortex shifted significantly of its axis , i'm uncertain as to what differences it makes to the trop weather on our shores depending on which way it gets shifted, maybe @Recretos or @lorenzo could shed some light on this?- 1,200 replies
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Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2015/2016
Gazza H replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
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Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...
Gazza H replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
over half a centimetre fell here this morning so far, sick fed up walking the dog in this weather, hurry up cold!! -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
silly question time, but why doesn't net weather have the NAVGEM, JMA, CMA etc charts as shown on here all the time from users screenshots from meteociel, It would be easier if they were all in one place on here to find surely? I'm assuming they are not free, however meteociel have decided to provide them anyway? -
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I can see some similarities between the december 2009 charts leading into the big freeze and tonights ukmo @ +144, will be interesting to see how this pans out. GFS is all over the shop leading me to give it a serious case of ignoring until the cold actually hits. ukmo +144 file:///Users/imachome/Desktop/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-10%20at%2016.34.01.png dec 2009 file:///Users/imachome/Desktop/Screen%20Shot%202016-01-10%20at%2016.37.21.png -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm still waiting for the cold patterns to kick in before I decide what's coming next, most of the experts on here have informed us as such for a week almost now. Out of interest does anyone have any model outputs they can show from 2010 leading up to the big freeze? If not where can I find them? Thanks folks -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hover your cursor over any of the words underlined as you see with WAA and a text box will show up with the meaning -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Gazza H replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry for being off topic but if folks haven't seen recretos's stratosphere chart animation over in the strat forum head over and check it out, amazing imagery ! -
Model Output Discussion - Stormy Period Inbound...
Gazza H replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Steep learning curve, one for the notebook sir! cheers