Banbury
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Posts posted by Banbury
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GFS 6z still on track for tomorrow IMBY
Apologies I was on the wrong day
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Snowing here in Banbury at long last
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Low after low after low after ………………….according to the GFS6z
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13 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
£50 of my hypothetical money says upstream in the jet it doesn't develop in that round dartboard shape but flatter and moves somewhat further north west, still be windy though...something of interest in this rubbish winter,
For the Beeb to mention it , would suggest there is a possibility
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This got very much underestimated
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Many can be more than happy with whats fallen
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17 minutes ago, Weathizard said:
Trigger low gone way NE at 120 on the GFS, not the best it must be said highly doubt we’ll get an easterly on this run.
Just to get a block out East is a start IMO , we have a whole month to go through yet , Feb can be very cold
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1 hour ago, Bartlett High said:
Looks like Sth.Wales could get hammered!
They are probabilities not snow depths
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2 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
ECM going for the elongated low Thursday, lots of snow potential from this for Central and Southern areas.
Hope your right MP , Oxon could do well
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Well I'm hoping Banbury is in a good location, the Fax certainly looks favourable
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8 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
I don't usually look at the other side, its nothing on netweather though, only quarter of members to here
Both are equally enjoyable with the odd scrap - quantity v quality - some very knowledgeable posters on both side
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8 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:
Never been in there. You won’t catch me watching football matches at white heart lane either! #loyalmember
You've never been to WHL to watch the boys ?? Surely your not a plastic fan
Nothing wrong with TWO , it seems on both sides tonight ………...silly heads have been out in force
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1 minute ago, Mark Parsons said:
Looking good up north , the South might not do so well by the weekend .
You are assuming PPN is that far North
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46 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
No one knows Tim. Many have mused that the westerly QBO lower down in the strat has interfered or that this SSW is a slow burner type DSW. unless Exeter lose their enthusiasm in the 30 dayer, I would stay optimistic
I agree , the one thing is the MO have been constant , they are probably thinking its not if its when , and its taken a tad longer...…….I hope that's right anyhow
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19 minutes ago, Alderc said:Finally some good output from GFS beyond 10days, springs just around the corner.
This week could realistically be the last attempt until next winter for snow for many in the south that being said I wouldn’t like to be a forecaster, so horrendously marginal conditions, will it snow at all, where will the snow line be? Give atmospheric profiles I think GFS is being too aggressive with snow accumulations.
I think for many the biggest problem this week will you ice - could be real problem Wednesday morning with all that rain freezing.
Not too sure how long you have lived in the UK but any UK resident will know Jan 29th - Jan 31st aren't the UK's last realistic chances for Snow , February can produce as well as March as well as April, even January 29th is in FI , so how you can look beyond with a smidgen of confidence I don't know.
Your statement is clearly from someone with very little historical knowledge of UK Winters .
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3 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
We haven’t had today’s update yet but yesterday showed increased speed of the MJO into phase 7.
On iPad so can’t unfortunately link or still haven’t worked out how to ! but if you just type in NCEP MJO into your search you should be able to find it.
Well into Phase 7 now
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11 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Trending away from significant snow in the North now, but could be quite a white out for places like Oxford, Milton Keynes and St Albans - i would be getting very excited if i lived there.
I've had these expectations before and missed the bloody lot lol
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2 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Re Tuesday’s low GFSp a bit shallower but still decent snow totals
I have to disagree they are CM totals
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6 minutes ago, CSC said:
BBC are also backing a complete no snow event. Not like I trust the BBC with anything..
Meteogroup are awful.
No they aren't - anyway wrong thread
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16 minutes ago, Bartlett High said:
You all might wanna catch the BBC 21:55 forecast ….the word 'MEH' comes to mind.
Just to put some perspective
They didn't have a clue it was quite clear - white blobs over England and Wales , I don't think I can recall so much uncertainty at such a short time period , she also said about the LP at the end of the week, we don't where the air will be coming from - some will have rain but some will have snow
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24 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:
Just going by the amount of precipitation you would expect to fall from a low of that depth I expect more snow than being shown on those depth charts. IMO 10cm around the sweet spot and widely 6-10cm around it. More snow is showing than expected for Thursday though
Probably a fair assessment , people expecting " carnage" wont get it from Tuesday's feature
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6 minutes ago, pureasthedriven said:
At the same time as Exeter’s extended goes a touch watery...
No it doesn't
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V interesting link in the Media section on TWO about the SSW ( from the Beeb )
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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:
Nick Miller just now-
Colder still as we go into next week and the S word will come into play
Great 18z BTW..
But milder at the end of the week mate
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Model output discussion 02/02/20
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
2 months too late