mickpips

Was very cloudy up to about an hour ago here in Leeds , which started to clear with a very orange sun poking through the mist / dust. Its now brilliant sunshine but there is a distinct smokey smell in the air.

Not read through the comments but wanted to say how disappointed I have been with tonights storm potential ..... other than a few 'minor' lightning strikes towards the NW and a few very isolated downpours across the north of England ... here in Leeds we have had two periods of what I would call 'spot' rain today .... so much for the 'severe' potential. Having said that , it is still extremely muggy out at the moment

So your taking ppn maps as gospel for the initial ( Friday low ) but discounting the secondary low ? as it 'may' end up in France. Very little movement of the initial low would mean that ppn forecast map to be incorrect too

If you hover over WAA it tells you what the abbreviation means , - warm air advection up towards Greenland and the Arctic in this instance

The cold to our East ? There is very little cold to tap in to from my reading and if anybody is looking for snow at that time period , 850's conducive to snowfall are 100's of miles away

True , in the grand scale of things ... I was just trying to make out , locally things can be so different to those forecast , meteorically things remain the same upstream , an onslaught from the SW seems inevitable next week

If the Met can't even predict this evenings snow with any certainty ( predicted a western pennine into the midlands snow event ) yet Yorkshire ( further East ) saw the frontal band move through and lay down several cm's of snow , how can any model output be taken at current output to be decided at +24 yet alone beyond ?

Radar shows PPN just about cleared from Leeds but snow fall has gone from light to moderate again

As predicted

The netweather radar showed light ppn over myself from 4pm this afternoon , and yes it was cloudy but nothing fell from the sky until about 7pm

Even a miracle was never gonna push it that far NorthEast , pmsl

Never a truer word ...

precise measurement just outside Leeds City centre is 4cm bang on .... on car roof

Judging the radar , I would say Leeds will see lighter stuff for the next hour or so , Barnsley will see something a little heavier over the next hour , Sheffield I can see another few cm's incoming later this evening from the NW , Anything North or East of these locations may see flurries