Stu_London

If HIRLAM verifies we could see a local red warning somewhere if the snow is accumulating.

I’m in Orpington now. So should be all good

Southend did very nicely last time. South of the river derseved better this time

Not sure that’s how my neighbours would describe me

I imagine when the easterly really kicks in they will fall off dramatically. How are you by the way. I’m thinking of making my chasing comeback soon?

For those with weather stations, how are the dew points looking?

Thanks Nick. That explains things perfectly. How are you by the way. It’s been a long time

Cool. I haven’t really followed the build up to this one.

Pretty clear at the moment

No I want it to be warm in April

If someone could invent an app that was anywhere near accurate, it wouldnt be so bad. I think Steve Murr should launch one with 15 minute updates. I’d buy it!

Must admit the radar doesn’t look too inspiring for our region. Where are we expecting the ppn to come from?

Indeed. I settled for a Smirnoff for tonight but it was on offer at 12.99.

They look amazing. Well done

Very nice. I like Belvedere

Still pretty mild in Orpington. Just been in the garden in my underpants and wasn’t inconvenienced

Particularly agree with the highlighted part above. I get that people want to talk about the weather that interests them most, but it shouldn't be to the exclusion of other solutions that are being modelled. Some of the posts attempting some objectivity were shot down so quickly and often rudely, that the thread became a place that was a bit unpleasant to be part of at times. Hopefully, the site and its members have learnt something from the last couple of weeks. On topic, models are a bit in no mans land really, with no firm signal emerging. Looks like the SSW has left everything a bit slack as we await a firm pattern to emerge. For me that means, no more snow, but probably no golf in the next couple weeks

Might go some way to explaining how it collapsed so easily and how the forecast models only really got to grips with the breakdown 3-4 days out.

I rate this spell 7th or 8th in my memory, which goes back to 1979. All a bit subjective because there are very few times the whole country gets battered so a lot of the time it depends on location. Jan 1987 was the best for me. It was the not the longest spell but it was the most brutal. In some ways 2018 was like a inferior cousin of 1987. A fairly short spell, unprecedented uppers and daytime temperatures, very locally as much snow as 1987 but nowhere near as widespread an event and not quite as severe.

I think the current warnings system is ok. Not saying that improvements couldn’t be made but if specific warnings were issued every time the forecast models were showing cold a week away, they would have about as much credibility as the Daily Express and we would soon have ‘the boy who cried wolf’ scenarios all over the place and when a genuine situation occurred most people would ignore them. What I would like to see is some enforcement when amber and red warnings are in place. I don’t quite advocate curfews but what the hell was a coach doing on the A303 and why were trains even trying to run in that area when a red warning had been issued. Better education of how we react to such warnings and improving the public’s understanding of the gravity of them would achieve better outcomes.

My best winter events 1) Jan 87 2) Feb 91 3) Multiple events 79 4) Dec 10 5) Feb 09 6) Feb/Mar 18 7) Dec 81 8 ) Mar 13 Feb 86 was good too, but I was living in the west country then - it was cold but dry everywhere else.

If dewpoint and air temp and upper air temp are all below freezing than all ppn should be snow. I don't think there is anywhere in our region that has any of these measures above 0c as yet.

I'm about 800 metres from the sleet poster and I can confirm it is very fine snow - or snizzle if you wish to use made up terms.

Do we think any of these showers will get as far south as Orpington? Working in Sevenoaks currently but would want to go home if conditions are going to worsen

Looks like Friday lunchtime. Earlier for more western parts