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Everything posted by William Grimsley
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Good evening, guys! I am back! Interesting bit of convective weather coming up! Looks like the potential of elevated thunderstorms on Tuesday Night for SW areas but haven't looked in detail and certainly not getting hopes up at this range.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
When did I say they would be widespread. Think I'm going to stick to the UKWW forum, I can get through a day without getting slaughtered.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
No, there's nothing there... Anyway, AJ, why the reaction? This heat is obviously taking a toll on people's temper.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'm on about a weather forecaster at the Met Office. Oh really? Well, if you take a look at the weather forecast for here, it says thunderstorms.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Maybe, but the sky here is loaded with energy and it's already kicking off south of here anyway, so it'll be an interesting evening, more proffesional weather forecasters think different.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
If you're looking for rain no, if you're looking for thunderstorms, possibly.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hi everyone, Well, certainly won't be getting much rain tonight that's for sure, lightning a lot I hope, but we shall have to see. Sky has been fairly unstable with various patches of Altocumulus and Altocumulus Castellanus cloud through today, good luck folks.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Of course, PM me. I think we'll need it down here, I have my doubts about tomorrow, does anyone have any cows I can borrow to let off some methane to get some more energy in the air?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Whoops, my post has been corrected, I've been drinking too much lightning juice...- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
My guess would be that the slight will be moved slightly south eastwards and a moderate risk will be issued for the NW part of the current slight risk area.# Think Knocker is already moistened up.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
What a lovely sight, anyway... I'm not really sure what that means but I presume it means lots of electrical energy is about to go kaboom and blow a massive hole in the middle of Dartmoor?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
@weather09, did you see the link I posted? What do you think to that?- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Guys, guys. Just been on the UKWW forum and a member has been mentioning of a potential burst of elevated thunderstorms moving north out of the Bay of Biscay tomorrow evening, I'm thinking this will effect mostly Devon and Cornwall but potentially Dorset and Somerset as well, something to watch, but apparently "Camborne is moistening" and CB's are coming out of Spain which as Ben has pointed out, wasn't forecasted. A very unpredictable 24-48 hours to come, but also a potentially exciting period too. Good luck, everyone. http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/113407-convective-chat-july-2016/page__view__findpost__p__984275 Oh, and just incase... https://video.nest.com/live/OIJL3I- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Ya forgotten this little feature over Devon!- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'd think most of the activity will be east of you guys, prepare to potentially chase. I'm slightly worried if this turns into an all nighter, I've not witnessed an all nighter before and won't be able to if it doesn't occur here.- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
There will be especially on Exmoor northwards, that's what I think anyway, very unlikely anywhere else though, except hopefully Newton Poppleford... First signs of thunderstorms leaving Spain heading northwards...- 2,726 replies
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Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Oh dear, I'm right on the edge of the low risk, looks like we'll see lots of Altocumulus Castellanus clouds overnight giving one or two thundery downpours before the main action starts through Devon, Wales and NW England overnight tomorrow.- 2,726 replies
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Erm, not sure where you're getting thunderstorms for later on from?
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
William Grimsley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Suppose not, but I try to make everyone feel happy. As I said, a stunning run, let's just hope it's not "storm porn" and see if it comes to fruition! -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
@weather09, I hope that 2nd chart is after it's developed otherwise we're stuffed.- 2,726 replies
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
William Grimsley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh, ensembles now! Now it makes sense, apologies knocker! -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
@ajpoolshark, don't loose heart buddy, I'm sure we can both feel sympathy if it all goes up in flames!- 2,726 replies
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Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
William Grimsley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not causing a silly fuss, I am simply stating the facts that have been presented to you on this thread. Anyway, back on topic... -
Model Output Discussions 12z 03/05/2016
William Grimsley replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Ouch, think you need to admit you were wrong on this occasion. GFS shows the jet stream being well to the north of the UK for most of the run in between the UK and Iceland. Anyway, whatever your post shows is not really what I'd call a jetstream, it's barely got any strength! -
Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 16/07/16 onwards
William Grimsley replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
That sounds a very good prediction to me not just because you included Exeter in there but actually makes sense. To be honest, I think the models are developing everything too far north, there's plenty of energy available as far south as Brittany northwards so we'll just have to see. Oh, and yes, I will be on the lookout for my Altocumulus Castellanus cloud tomorrow and Tuesday. I'm thinking this could be very similar to the last MCS that hit this area on the 24th of June 2005.- 2,726 replies
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