DAVID SNOW
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Posts posted by DAVID SNOW
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On 17/08/2021 at 17:03, Ed Stone said:
I spent the afternoon of X-mas Day 1974 mowing the lawn!
Must have been a family decision........and without doubt, a unanimous one.
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Is it actually allowed to confirm that summer ends this month.
With that being only 2 weeks away, is it okay for some to say that, to them it never got started and the continuous jam tomorrow charts posted at day 10 will soon be showing in September....And that is Autumn!
Expect to see some magical movements of goal posts soon, with September to become the late August...
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On 15/08/2021 at 18:10, MATTWOLVES said:
What,and you reckon the met have a poor understanding of em! Pull the other one.
And where in my post did i mention the met ?
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On 15/08/2021 at 17:47, mountain shadow said:
A win for Matt Hugo then.
A couple of weeks back he was saying the teleconnections showed unsettled for mid month whilst the Met office were going for settled.
Looks rubbish next week now and models getting it wrong too.
Good call from MH, he obviously has a good understanding of the teleconnections , better than keep updating with jam tomorrow forecasts.
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On 13/08/2021 at 04:15, 38.7°C said:
Found some met office forecasts from 2050 on you tube
Thanks, what a laugh!
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Any chance of a new thread in the morning?
This one has become almost unreadable, to the point that anyone looking in would be met by an avalanche of off topic posts and theatrics.
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On 12/08/2021 at 17:51, Norfolk Sheep said:
FGS, 4 days camping in Cambs for dog shows and it's the only place with a howling wind and rain!
Got to expect some howling at a dogs show.
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That's hot! But i think the WMO will debunk it.
Well, maybe..
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On 11/08/2021 at 16:47, Ed Stone said:
Well, there had to be something!
Yeah, life or death.
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On 11/08/2021 at 16:42, AderynCoch said:
8C where I was today (High Tatras). Felt warmer though!
Very nice, but that's not the UK either...
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On 11/08/2021 at 16:34, Ed Stone said:
I think we can all be rather thankful that synoptics don't look favourable for any of that coming up here, any time soon!?
unintended positive consequence of the leave vote.
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Another huge day here in the SE, it hasn't rained for two days now!
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On 10/08/2021 at 19:30, I remember Atlantic 252 said:
Think Aug is over rated by many, It's a low pressure dominated month, Atlantic air dominates! a fully dry day is rare away from the SE, further NW you go, 20 degrees becomes less common
August can be a bit of a let down for sure, but.. take heart, someone in the MOD thread has forecast the last 10 days of the month to be very warm for NW Europe.
Can't go wrong with that, considering the area in question covers about 500 thousand square miles.....
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On 10/08/2021 at 16:26, *Stormforce~beka* said:
It's glorious! Been cleaning the chicken carrier out, hanging laundry, hanging out with the kids and the chickens. All good!! We don't need 30c+ - as nice as it is - this is just perfect too!
Yes, mostly sunny and pleasantly warm.
Wouldn't mind a bit of heat though, before summer is done.
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A short lived thundery plume has been played about with from all models, for some time now and would be welcomed by me, to add NO model shows any chance of extreme heat from Spain heading our way, that will all slip away to our south and east.
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On 09/08/2021 at 12:47, seabreeze86 said:
I can’t believe we are on the 61-90 average like you say must be the minima as the maxima has been dire
I make the provisional CET to be 15.6, so a bit below Hadley.
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On 08/08/2021 at 21:40, summer blizzard said:
Still an attempt to cut off west of the U.K. but still indecision as to how that happens and how phased with the jet stream this becomes.
lots to be decided , but thankfully, the i told you so and crystal ball back slapping has gone now.
Nice August weather for the South next week.
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On 05/08/2021 at 21:07, Weather-history said:
That covers a century.
Look at the weather in the last 100 years.......
Last 100 years for the UK?
I'd say pretty mixed, no doubt not helped by the massive population explosion, with over time, villages becoming towns, and towns becoming cities, and the cities themselves ever expanding into the country side . All that 'new' concrete, steel and tarmac and people wonder why it's getting warmer here, and flooding is the like never seen before.............
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Interesting times, makes current UK extremes look fairly tame.
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On 03/08/2021 at 20:59, damianslaw said:
Met Office outlook suggesting a predominantly underwhelming August on the way but perhaps better towards tail end.. par for the course in August. Very disappointing!
'Forecasters' in the MOD thread saying things should improve for the South/South East, no good for you or them, but i suppose it gains 'likes' and increases reputation.
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Long way out to the 10 day range, but it's safe to say GFS and ECM do not agree at all, chalk 'n cheese really, GEM more like ECM.
Bit too early for the i told you so and back slapping.
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On 01/08/2021 at 13:14, Relativistic said:
It's a 0.2°C downward adjustment due to urban heating; not 0.3°C.
The reasoning above is why some were (rightly) sceptical of the provisional figures. There's no need for accusations to be thrown around when there's genuine confusion.
Yes it is a 0.2 adjustment due to urban heating, and not 0.3, that was incorrectly posted................
And thanks yes , no need at all for accusations to be thrown around, even more so when they turn out to be totally wrong .
To be clear, i posted last week that there would have to be a huge downward correction, of 0.5 or more, to justify my concerns with the provisional figures ......
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On 31/07/2021 at 15:21, Quicksilver1989 said:
I think I'll trust the judgement of climatologists who have analysed the data in painstaking detail
Good for you.
As i have already proven, your implication regarding my reasoning was incorrect, move on now.
Thanks.
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On 30/07/2021 at 21:11, MATTWOLVES said:
There's a little more to it than purely guessing. The last settled spell was picked up several weeks earlier regarding rising AAM! There's not much point in anyone coming on here to issue a forecast beyond a few days,if its merely going to be a case of guessing! I'm pretty sure Exeter and the like do a little more than guess when they issue there monthly forecasts! Yes beyond 10 days is fraught with error at anytime of the year! But there are signs for sure of things settling down before much longer on a fair amount of data.
Can't you come on here once in a while and issue a forecast,rather than to keep saying its all pretty pointless second guessing the models beyond a certain timeframe!
Not here to issue forecasts, just comment on what the models show, if members wish to post about their abundant knowledge of rising AAM , and then guess what that may bring in the future is fine by me, just remember there are many other 'signals', drivers at play all at the same time, so again guessing is fine, and fun too.
No need to take it so personally, it's just the usual unpredictability for the UK , with our geographical location. not easy, and requires guessing for things to fall 'right'
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Summer 2021: Moans, Groans, Ramps and Banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
When are the very warm temperatures going to arrive then, cutting it very fine to happen last 3rd August now...
Silly of me to believe the Daily Express.....