tollgateiow

We had quite a big rumble around 6AM and a couple of distant ones a bit earlier so better than nothing! Very heavy rain too

Thundering here...

First rumble of thunder, getting very dark to the South

First rumble of thunder here...

ECM 240!! The Great Winter of 2014/15 Begins.....

Hi Stuart, The latest update that you have posted is yesterdays even though the Met Office say they updated it at 0400 Sat 08 Nov 2014 today. Todays update is usually posted during the afternoon, you can tell if it is todays because the date at the bottom will say 1600 Sat 08 Nov 2014. I have emailed the Met Office saying that it causes confusion and they said they are working on a solution to the problem.

Just measured gust of 53.1mph from the South, getting windier all the time

Yes I saw it too, his report half an hour earlier said 60-70 mph gusts with some places seeing 80mph so they must haver some newer info in.

Latest shipping forecast for Wight is grim.... "Wight Gale warnings - Issued: 0341 UTC Sun 27 Oct Southwesterly severe gale force 9 increasing violent storm force 11 later Shipping Forecast - Issued: 0405 UTC Sun 27 Oct Wind Southwest 7 to severe gale 9, increasing viloent storm 11, perhaps hurricane force 12 later. Sea State Rough or very rough, becoming high. Weather Thundery showers, then rain. Visibility Good, becoming poor."

Best storm of the year so far, frequent lightning striking the ground close by, moving off to the East now but lightning and rumbles still going.

Best storm of the year so far, frequent lightning striking the ground close by, moving off to the East now but lightning and rumbles still going.

Think you might have it spot on Tamara, particularly about a renewed NW/SE split,latest UMMO 6-15 certainly thinks so too.

Just had an overhead clap of thunder and amazing flash of lightning plus heavy rain here in Freshwater.

Just had a really good thunderstorm here in Freshwater on the IOW, several forks and overhead thunder plus torrential rain!

Yes,I'm in Freshwater and the rain was torrential plus several forks and overhead thunder!

This is what the UKMO were predicting on 6th December for the period we are just entering, just about the opposite of what we are getting and about to get I would say. So hopefully their current predictions will be wrong too! I know it doesn't always work like that but you can but hope.... UK Outlook for Friday 21 Dec 2012 to Friday 4 Jan 2013: Temperatures by both day and night are most likely to be below average during this period, with a greater incidence of overnight frost and, at times, fog or freezing fog. The signal for rain and snowfall amounts during this period shows a high degree of uncertainty, however, on balance, slightly drier conditions compared to average are favoured for most of the UK. Even though there is a drier-than-average signal for much of the UK, where precipitation does occur, there is a greater chance that it will fall as snow compared to normal. Updated: 1136 on Thu 6 Dec 2012

Latest UKMO 6-15 haven't change their view on the outlook, carbon copy of yesterdays forecast. Will indeed be interesting what Country file has to say particularly in light of John Hammonds comments this morning â€Christmas week by no means a done deal, watch this spaceâ€

John Hammond just said on breakfast news â€Christmas week by no means a done deal, watch this space†Not surprised looking at this mornings output!

Lit the new woodburner the night before last and have lit it every night since, going to be hard to stop now! Bit of pressure from the rest of the family to light it, usually hold out until October!

Interesting change of words on todays update saying cold weather will prevail during February as opposed to yesterdays cold weather will prevail well in to February.

It's out, I can see why it was delayed, the last sentence is a turn up for the books!

BBC monthly outlook from 16-22 Jan is completely at odds with the Meto update for the same period. Meto saying below average temps and BBC saying mild or very mild! What is going on!!

This is what the Met Office actually predicted issued on 17th November: Pretty accurate really UK Outlook for Friday 2 Dec 2011 to Friday 16 Dec 2011: The first half of December should see some rather unsettled and changeable weather, particularly towards the north and west. Total precipitation amounts are likely to be close to or above the seasonal average, whilst some snow is likely on high ground in the northern half of the UK. Temperatures are expected to be around average but, at this time of year, that typically means single-figure degrees Celsius maxima and an increasing chance of overnight frosts. A few milder days are still possible, chiefly in the west at first, but on the whole it will feel significantly colder than during the recent mild spell. Updated: 1159 on Thu 17 Nov 2011

This chart bears remarkable resemblance to the situation at the moment, althouth it probably means nothing it shows how things can change further down the line, eg January 1987!

Interesting UKMO 6-15 day update. Perhaps the ECM model is on to something!