erv
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Posts posted by erv
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winds now East now so showers now forming in the n sea will push inland showers getting there act to better.
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It is the weakest in 200 years and sun also is undergoing one of its oddest magnetic reversals on record.Yep latest SESC counts show after the highest activity we have seen for some time things have calmed down somewhat over the last couple of days:
(Green is 10.7cm Flux, Blue is Sunspot Count)
SK
It should signal the peak of the solar maximum, for some reason The sun's north magnetic pole reversed polarity more than a year ago, so it has the same polarity as the south pole. It's delay between the two reversals is not normal.
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While there selling papers they will not care if it far from the truth. It's sells time and time again.There just a few head lines lolThe Express gets worse with each new headline they print, there digging themselves a big hole, I'd like to see there response when all this fails to happen I wonder what the Daily exacturate will come up with next 6 month winter is by far the daftest headline to date It make me wonder if they are desperate for sales given they've already admitted sales go up when they print these stories
Gives us something to talk about I guess ! One day they will get it right and we will never here the end of it.
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Haha yes .not to different to from now .? High around or on top of uk .Imagine the model thread in melt down writing off the winter of 62/63, as the route from that set up would be weeks of Zonal.Oh wait.
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I agree on this day in 62It's also true to say if you flick through the archives that the latter part of november and much of december 62 was characterised by high pressure hanging around the UK with occasional drifting south and allowing cold zonality in over the top. The HP then migrated to Scandy as Xmas approached... and the rest is history. The point is that at this time of year having HP around the uk is no bad thing... and as has been suggested by some observers we are actually in a rather interesting global pattern where ridging is occuring despite the strong vortex, and the pattern is meridional from the pacific round to the atlantic. This too isnt a bad thing at all if cold is what you want. If HP continues to show its hand north of Europe then we are potentially in business. IB is right - we need it at high latitude to get the really cold temps across us - and the november we have had so far would suggest that this is very possible as the season goes on. Another 62/63? Yes please. I wasnt alive then - but now that Examination modules have disappeared from January (hooray!!) I would not be unhappy to have some snow inspired disruption. Sorry for an IMBY perspective there - I am aware that for many such disruption is bad news....
Then late NovemberThen dec 10th 62So having a high floating around like around on charts at the moment carn't be a bad thing at all. Like said few post ago better than zonal .Never know dec 62 might just make a visit lol
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Thought it was interesting how before the use of supper computers etc. how patterns from the past was looked at to predicted possible up and coming weather. Point is what ever the charts show in fl a weather pattern in the past can give us a clue of an up and coming weather event!Not really the right thread, but can I ask what point you are trying to make?
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Morning all
I see over last week or two there have been post's on similar weather patterns as years gone by.
Well I have came across this.
History repeating itself november 1963 V's 2013.
Its a good read enjoy.
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Hi all,
been following this forum for many years and followed the highs and lows with you all. so I thought it's about time I joined lol.
So first of all id like to thank you all for some fantastic reading,
So on to the current models , as above^ catacol-highlander said it started on 26th and we had some great winter charts.! Then the models changed course it's far from game over and not even winter yet. Have faith things will change, our winter weather is a lot different now than it was 5yrs + ago. anything from 120hrs + can and often does change very quick in the winter months?Let's see what the 12z's have to say.
This is only the start plenty more ups and down to come..
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Model Output Discussion - Into November 2019
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
2010