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ancientsolar

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Everything posted by ancientsolar

  1. ancientsolar
    What in the madness is the 00:00 GFS .. it takes our current High Pressure from Thursday.. lasts until Friday... but makes a come back on Sunday and into Monday potentially pushing temperatures into the low 30s again. Then it gets pushed out by an almost identical Low like the one we have coming this Thursday, if that makes westward corrections too... we could be looking at 16-18 uppers in the South again. possibly pushing the temperatures 32-35 in the South..
  2. ancientsolar
    If the Bay of biscay keeps moving at the rate it is.. it'll be hitting the South Coast in 10hours
  3. ancientsolar
    looking like the 18:00 GFS shows low pressure completely Stalling over the Far West of theUK Friday-Saturday , and stays South a little longer due to lack of momentum.. But it looks like it allows a ridge to come in from the South East.. over the weekend.. and lose the influence of a further atlantic Low
  4. ancientsolar
    Given the extremity of the potential situation, i'd give a blanket warning for both to be cautious and frequently keep up to date with developments.
  5. ancientsolar
    They should have warnings out for storms and heat!
  6. ancientsolar
    well the Plume is on its way, this livestream on Youtube certainly has my attention
  7. ancientsolar
    Given the upgrade in the last 24 hours for Thursday, What if this happens in the next 24 hours for Friday too ?
  8. ancientsolar
    Even a 29 in Devon.. but south Wales cooler.. who knows
  9. ancientsolar
    Given that it's purple, and purple represents 38
  10. ancientsolar
    Look at this difference in the uppers for Friday GFS 15:00 .. 12 hours between the forecasts.
  11. ancientsolar
    by midnight Friday .. the hotter uppers seem to be 30-40miles Westwards compared to the last run. Quite a large difference.. If it keeps going the Low Pressure won't even make it.
  12. ancientsolar
    wow, the CAPE over France .. explodes into life at 9am . already feeling some toasty air !
  13. ancientsolar
    I am very cautious to trust any charts with thunderstorm timings, espicially when low pressure it on our doorstep hitting the high pressure..surely that is a squeeze of potential ?
  14. ancientsolar
    I don't know what the risks are for the SE valleys, but i'm thinking I should buy a nice webcam and livestream tomorrow night on Youtube... would anyone be interested to watch that if I can pull it off ?
  15. ancientsolar
    so we patiently wait for the 06:00 .. a new day breaks..
  16. ancientsolar
    What's the chance of 18-20 uppers for the far East on Friday ? Given that the LP has moved back and back over the last 24hours
  17. ancientsolar
    waiting for a thunderstorm..while dying of humidity .. sums up Tuesday and Wednesday I think.
  18. ancientsolar
    Not only has GFS pushed back the Low on Thursday.. it's also pushed back Wednesday.. and indeed Tuesday... now that gives us another 48 hours.. where this LP could be pushed back another 30-40 miles... if the trend keeps continuing.
  19. ancientsolar
    the positioning of the low on GFS 06:00 is marginally further North on Thursday than the 00:00 .. which i'm guessing is allowing more heat from the South to push it Northwars losing momentum on the Eastwards drive..
  20. ancientsolar
    yes , some of these temperatures look like they'll stay above 20C Wednesday night.. and late 20's by 9am Thursday .. it could be a close one, I suppose it really depends on how aggressive the jet stream is, but it's really weak and struggling.. that LP that's suppose to his us.. could just get weaker.. people here said it was often over cooked on GFS as it was.. then again.. the record potential could be shut down by thunderstorms. It's hugely interesting to see the charts unveiled.
  21. ancientsolar
    looks like GFS 18:00 has the LP moved westwards a touch, wide spread 30C over Southern UK Thursday ?
  22. ancientsolar
    are these good conditions for developing thunderstorms? there seems to be a lot of head and cold air trying to migrate over the UK on Wednesday-Thursday.. at least that's the impression i'm getting from GFS charts This jet stream looks rather weak, so many patches of brokeness throughout the next week.
  23. ancientsolar
    With such a battle between the high pressure, and low pressure midweek, What does this do for thunderstorm potential.. Will these lows be able to pull up enough moisture out of the sea to create lines of thunderstorms? I still don't know what to trust in the models 06 GFS seems to favour holding to the heat slightly longer (wednesday-Thursday).. but the low to the SW seems unable to get through it.. but it's close enough to form spells of rain.. hitting potentially very hot air?
  24. ancientsolar
    hoping to see something XD
  25. ancientsolar
    Scotland is the new Kent... didn't anyone get the memo ?
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