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Skullzrulerz

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Posts posted by Skullzrulerz

  1. 5 minutes ago, Mcconnor8 said:

    UKMO 12z trends it slightly further North and deeper than the 0z run, max wind gusts for each run below. Looks worse for North England, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

    image.thumb.png.0e656e0be3aa73ee0528086091117322.pngimage.thumb.png.fa55dc168051b00b9c98ca41216a8343.png

     

    In turn it should mean that more Southern/Western regions are somewhat spared from the worst winds.

    • Like 1
  2. So, from where I live the peak wind speeds from about 6-8am this morning have been quite gusty, thankfully not powerful enough to make the rubbish bins go astray, besides a few branches that have come off, thankfully there's no damage around my local area.

    I think we have dodged the worst of it somehow.

    • Like 2
  3. 2 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

    Theres time yet for a Red Warning..

    While that's indeed true, a lot of people aren't going to notice in the very early hours of the morning, if it was issued in the next hour or so a lot more people are going to take notice.

    • Like 3
  4. 2 minutes ago, Mcconnor8 said:

    image.thumb.png.def6347d875baea2709d01bdf7048253.pngimage.thumb.png.7b45e1050ba9e9d52e4cc4e007e43702.png

    ICON 12z slightly more North than the 6z but still more South than e.g Arome is and more North than UKV.

    I'm sure that the 6z was slightly more north give or take.

    Still looks like Cornwall is going to take a absolute batting.

    • Like 3
  5. 3 hours ago, pages said:

    0z GFS is further north west than 18z by quite a bit, extreme gusts  90mph+ now clipping places such a Brighton.

    The rest of the models not as extreme but icon and GEM also bit further north than there 12z runs.

    Path still not nailed down yet.

    image.thumb.png.09ef025c52d91f1ffab397f68b662962.png

     

    Cornwall is also still in the firing line, possibly a red warning?

  6. WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

    Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. Choose your location to keep up to date with local weather warnings.

    "During the early hours of Thursday northwesterly winds will develop across the Isles of Scilly and southwestern parts of England and Wales. Here, gusts are likely to reach 70-80 mph in some coastal areas and in a few coastal spots may exceed 85 mph. Inland, gusts of 65-75 mph are possible. A sharp cut-off is expected regarding how far northeast these very high winds extend, this boundary still uncertain and dependent on the exact track of Storm Ciarán. Wind will gradually start to ease from mid-morning. Very large waves could bring additional impacts to coastal areas."

    Screenshot_2023-10-31-10-30-07-50_40deb401b9ffe8e1df2f1cc5ba480b12.thumb.jpg.e982db9b3fb7f501419b0ab6a5b6e3b0.jpg

     

    • Thanks 2
  7. 17 minutes ago, daniel barber said:

    Regarding total impacts. Not to concerned unless it shifts a few hundred miles north. 

    I do believe that it has slightly shifted more southwards.

    Seems the SW and South Coast may experience some brunt of the storm but France seems to be getting the most of it 

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