Gaz1985
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Posts posted by Gaz1985
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Bet that's rough if you're at sea
overall a rubbish set of models so far this evening if you are looking for dryness - it's the same record played over and over since December. -
What I said earlier I'm pretty far inland and it's proper howling
Tell me about it - Thought I could hear your dog from up here!
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Gibraltar is another I like, hot Summers, very mild Winters http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gibraltar#Climate
I would hazard a guess that in Winter it is one of the mildest places in Europe, further east you go in the Med the chance of colder incursions pushing down from Eastern Europe in places like Greece and Turkey. Snow can fall right down to the coast in Crete.
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I think it is quite striking that we have been stuck in the same pattern since mid-dec. Exceptions are a settled blip thrown in here and there, with changes only reaching our doorstep without stepping in fully.I am finding it unusual that it is going on and on. Is it more common than I think it is? Seems bizarre to me that once again we are 'stuck in a rut'. Feels like a common occurence in recent years with setups lasting weeks on end rather than days on end...Poor winter so far with nothing getting the chance of drying out before the next batch of rain arrives. I am beginning to look towards the convective season beginning with hopefully some settled weather in between.
I was thinking the same thing.
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Miami has though. Damaging frosts can occur in southern Florida during very potent cold snaps. Plus, Key West has the distinction of being the only city in the Lower 48 states to have never recorded an air frost, or even a ground frost by the looks of it.
Hence why I missed it out, but since the 1800's the coldest temp in Miami has only been -2c on Feb 3rd 1917 and even then it was just for 30 mins I believe then quickly rose above 0c - not really damaging. So a damaging frost in south Florida does not occur from the Everglades south. Orlando's lowest ever temp was -8c and this is mid Florida not south, the Orlando area is where most of Florida's Orange's are grown.
Also to note is Orlando is in a county called "Orange county"
From what I have read Miami has only seen a handful of temps around 0c since 1800's, so if you lived in Miami all your life the chances of seeing a frost are very slim or maybe only once.
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Well most of the time but they can get frost very occasionally damaging the orange crop - like a lot of other places when the wind is in the,right direction.
As for me I would settle for Southern France - normally ok from April through to October
No, damaging frosts do not occur that far south in Florida. It only occurs from Orlando northwards. In fact Key West has never recorded an air frost.
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Apologies if this is a subject that has been posted before.
My ideal place to live would be the Atacama desert in Chile - the world's driest hot desert. Where it rains maybe 2 days in the year that's it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arica#Climate
Minus the threat from hurricanes and thunderstorms my 2nd/3rd ideal place to live and climate would be somewhere like Miami or Key West in Florida where it's very warm/hot year round with strong sunshine.
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Hmmm not too sure I guess if you like "variety" then probably England has the better climate for that - Far enough south to get heat but far enough north and east to get cold and snow (apart from this Winter
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Unfortunately a wet picture overall esp the further west and south west you are, more flooding likely. Accumulated rainfall up to 192hrs
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Found this today - well I pinched it lol, looks an interesting place called Bishkek in Kyrgyzstan, snowing quite heavily by the looks of it. http://live.saimanet.kg/ru/cams/2#.Uu6zONI0IZx
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This January and Winter is reminding me of Autumn 2000, another month of this wet weather and it feel 100% like it!
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Long-awaited rain falls in California's capital Sacramento, ending 52-day dry streak
http://www.sacbee.com/2014/01/29/6111175/sacramento-weather-rain.html
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For this locale as we enter the final month of Winter we've had:
3 days of falling snow
0 days of lying snow
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Even only up to 72 hours on the WRF-NMM it looks very wet for places especially the west. 80mm+ in places, a bit more than that over county Galway, Kerry, Mayo over in Ireland. Obviously this model counts what we have already seen today which has been very wet in places.
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A good chunk of Nevada also in extreme drought and bits elsewhere in other US states.
Also worth mentioning it has been an unusual dry Autumn/Winter in the Pacific north west, been very dry in Seattle with just bits of rain, they usually have Winters like what we have experienced this Winter. The chance of proper Pacific pressure systems moving back in from 8th Feb which should bring relief with those rain spikes at the bottom of the graph below. A bit more scatter for San Francisco but non the less the biggest chance I've seen so far this Winter of more appreciable rain. But unfortunately rain not as likely for Los Angeles.
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Apart from the rain I've enjoyed this Winter, just need high pressure to anchor itself to the south or over us and it would be a perfect end for me, CFS hinting at high pressure from mid Feb onwards.
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Dew point rising now almost to 1c - no chance of any settling snow here tonight unless it drops again.
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1986
1987
1995
1996
2001
2013
That's interesting,have I missed 2002 because if I had then so would 2014!
Am sure 2002 was quite nice and mild?
2006 was another cold March, some places remained below freezing early in the month.
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Bigger flakes coming down but not heavy enough to stick.
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Some flurries starting here, but there's a covering at Flash (highest village in England @1518 feet)
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sunny warm days in summer are far more common than snow is in winter
They are where you live, the further north and west you go the Summers are in a league for their own for crapness. Apart from last July. I remember previous Summers many a time the south east with 25-28c yet it has been 17c here dull or even raining, not really warm enough to enjoy.
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then they will get a fantastic hot summer and we will get a dull, cool, wet summer, or a dull, cool, dry summer with easterlies and northerlies, yeah i know this cliche is tiresome now but it will probably be true
Well you might not be far wrong - considering on average our climate is dominated by a prevailing W/SW wind. The likelyhood of a long hot Summer is less than a cool wet one.
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Wet sums up the Manchester ens but the 850 temperatures looking like going above the seasonal norm starting this time next week.
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The CETs for both Dec 2013 and Jan 2014 will not come out anywhere close to record mild levels; what has been so remarkable is the persistent static level of temperatures all winter so far - and even since early November. For almost three months, night minima has hardly deviated either side of 2-4*C, and day maxima has hardly deviated either side of 7-9*C almost every single day since early November. There has actually been little in the way of really mild weather (ie 10-12 day maxes and 7-8*C night minima). The combination of the static temperature levels described and hardly any deviation from it have meant that it has never been quite cold enough for snow at least south of Scotland, but many places have seen a lot of "cold rain" rather than "mild rain". The static temperature levels have meant few frosts with few nights widely below 0*C.
I cannot recall a winter that has seen such static temperature levels all winter like has been the case this year. Scotland has done pretty well out of cold zonality this winter, but south of Scotland the UK has just persistently been on the wrong side of zonality for anything wintry.
Very slim pickings indeed there out of a really dud winter.
You are right, when it's been 5-8 degrees it's felt chilly in a strong breeze. As you say It's not been a very mild Winter but not cold - notably so by night.
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overall a rubbish set of models so far this evening if you are looking for dryness - it's the same record played over and over since December.
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Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Nothing more to say on the Manchester ens other than wet and temps around average if slightly above at times.