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NeilN

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Everything posted by NeilN

  1. NeilN
    I don't believe their forecast. They got it totally wrong with autumn predicting a warm one when we had November and October below average.
  2. NeilN
    When was the last time we had two below average months in a row?
  3. NeilN
    To be honest frosty and dry is an improvement on the rain we've had all autumn and perhaps it's best to start small and take it from there. It's all a little bit too early in the game I feel....
  4. NeilN
    A very safe 4.4c and 60mm please. Drier than the last few months.
  5. NeilN
    Haha, not the island itself as it sounds like a lovely place. Just that bloody front!
  6. NeilN
    Is there a way of getting rid of the Azores?
  7. NeilN
    Aside from the hideous rain, but I am thinking is this more like November 2009? That was very wet, and mild - I remember moving into a new house and we didn't put the lovely and warm gas fire on until the first week of December! Perhaps this is a good thing? I just hope we can dry out!!
  8. NeilN
    No thank you!! Come back at the end of March, then we'll talk heat
  9. NeilN
    I think seasonal describes the most recent model output post. As long as Northern Blocking stablises and develops into something epic for winter, we're laughing.
  10. NeilN
    6.1c and 69mm please.
  11. NeilN
    As unreliable as Accuweather is, perhaps theres some truth with the storms? A repeat of 13-14 would be a horror zone. Perhaps the worst winter ever.
  12. NeilN
    I hope that comes off we get a snowy winter. Screw the long-range models!! Another thing, doesn't a wet autumn often mean a cold winter? 2009 had a wet autumn and we all know what followed that, plus I am sure 1984 had a wet autumn and a cold winter. Even 2012 was a wet autumn, and the winter turned out OK.
  13. NeilN
    Surely this autumn has to be one of the wettest ever? It's just endless!!
  14. NeilN
    I am honestly not panicking. As someone as mentioned, the models produced an own goal for 2009/10 winter which was the coldest since 1979 in most places! I also believe 2012/3 was predicted mild and that produced the goods being slightly below average (save a very mild December). They can't even get tomorrow right these models, let alone three months from now. Perhaps before the net came along, whatever models were used in 1978, 1984, 1985, 1986 showed mild!
  15. NeilN
    As it was almost six years before I was born, I think this is the only "beatable" record winter that could be achieved (I think 1963 will never happen again in our lifetimes). Sadly, unless a miracle happens a winter like this is in dream world.
  16. NeilN
    The thing is, these long-range forecasts can change at a drop of a hat. Plus perhaps a bit of reverse psychology may work - predict mild, get cold? I think we will get there. The problem is, we are just in an unfortunate position due to location and other outside factors.
  17. NeilN
    0.1c off - so close.
  18. NeilN
    I was born in the November before that winter - My Mum said it was a very cold one. She has a photo of me around nine weeks old with her holding me in the snow.
  19. NeilN
    Can I change? 9.4c and 99mm
  20. NeilN
    I'm still in the chase then...instinct proved me correct so far.
  21. NeilN
    10.2 and 66mm. Sneaky feeling the warm Octobers are over now.
  22. NeilN
    October 11.2c (the run of warm ones is dead), November 6.1c (rain and plenty of it) and finally December (putting my head on the line and I can see something akin to December 2017) 4.1c. I've got a hunch we may get a decent winter this year.
  23. NeilN
    Ok, I may be in with a slender chance to win the CET competition. Aside from a few spikes with temperature rises, I think this month will be around average / slightly below.
  24. NeilN
    This is it. Yes I did react OTT about it, but the weather forecast can't even get tomorrow right, yet alone three months away! Plus perhaps this is reverse psychology - mild winter = cold winter? Didn't the models predict 2009/10 to be mild, only to be stung with it being the coldest for 30 years?
  25. NeilN
    Please dont tell me we are heading for another mild one? Is there a man made way to make it colder other than fire weapons? Get Kim Jong-Un testing - ironic when he was, we had a cold winter!
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