I am honestly not panicking. As someone as mentioned, the models produced an own goal for 2009/10 winter which was the coldest since 1979 in most places! I also believe 2012/3 was predicted mild and that produced the goods being slightly below average (save a very mild December).
They can't even get tomorrow right these models, let alone three months from now.
Perhaps before the net came along, whatever models were used in 1978, 1984, 1985, 1986 showed mild!