Sky Full
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We’re all looking and hoping for some signs a of change in the course of the current cool, cloudy and wet set-up but as long as the jet stream continues to use the UK as target practice it’s doubtful that any high pressure will be able to build over us…..
GFS 0Z. 30/07 - 07/08:
We need to see this pattern change and move north and it’s still very possible, but not much sign of it in the models yet.
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As forecast, we have a very wet start to the day accompanied by a fairly gusty wind. It’s cooler than usual and not at all like a mid-July day. So the weather continues unsettled, cool and autumnal as we wait for August to bring Summer back….
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. At least the garden hose will not be needed for a while.
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1 hour ago, snefnug said:
And I am looking out now, onto verdant green, apart from the dying wychelms, struck by elm disease. The trees are not as stressed as they were last year, although it is interesting to note that the holly trees were producing berry buds in huge numbers a few months back.
Very sad to see any trees dying out but round here it’s ash dieback which is clearing the woodland. Hundreds of ash trees gone over the last few years. We still have plenty of beech, sycamores, oaks and hazel but the variety I remember in my younger days seems to be decreasing only too quickly.
Its stopped raining now after a very wet day but tomorrow looks promising and it should be a nice sunny start!
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1 hour ago, snefnug said:
I’m in the alternating rainfall and sunshine days. With slightly below or about average temps camp. Although my solar array and battery would like wall to wall sunshine but not too hot please.
I agree with you! Everything looks so much healthier and cleaner with regular rain and sun alternating. Mind you, it is fascinating to see these weather extremes becoming more and more pronounced year on year but also worrying to think what events we might be discussing in here in five years time…..
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Would be interesting to know which type of weather is favourite for those of us that follow these things - a month of 30-35C blistering heat and no rainfall, or what we have now: slightly below average temperatures, alternating rainfall and sunshine every other day. Personally I don’t envy those in southern Europe and the Mediterranean where wildfires are getting out of control and people are being told to stay indoors between 11am and 4 pm. You can’t work outside effectively in those conditions.
Weather - latest: Another heatwave 'may begin next week'; city hits 43C for record 19th day in row; why this isn't affecting UK
NEWS.SKY.COMThe latest updates as heatwaves and extreme weather cause disruption across the globe. Sardinia is expected to see temperatures of 46C today, there are...-
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11 hours ago, Wetterfrosch said:
Quite a decent day today with some sunshine and staying dry, despite some impressive Cb clouds towering above our valley. Tomorrow looks like another 'home day' and a write off regarding outdoor activities. At least no repeat of those nasty gusty winds which counts for something.
Great pictures…. Agree with your forecast for today! Steady, moderate rain here all this morning so far. Looks set for another few hours too. Next couple of days look more promising though and the rain is welcome provided it doesn’t last all week!
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Yes, it’s still unsettled with a largely cloudy sky and gusty winds from the south west. Looking back over the posts through July it seems that the wind has been the most persistent feature of our mid-Summer month, all down to a series of Atlantic low pressure systems which have plagued us for the last two weeks or more. If these systems had occurred in October they would almost certainly have become ‘named storms’ but in July they haven’t quite had the strength to merit this ‘honour’. I can put up with cloud but I’m getting fed up with the wind which does make outside activities that much less enjoyable. The current meteorological set-up will have to change if any of that super heated air in southern Europe is going to reach us but I’m not crossing my fingers for that.
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Quite a nice morning here - it’s breezy but not wild. We’ve had three or four sharp showers move through but there’s plenty of open blue sky and some towering cumulus to admire. Might get a walk in today without getting wet…
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I think it could be described as ‘stormy’ here now with large, mature trees swinging about in the wind and leaves being blown around like October. Being wet from the rain, in full leaf and therefore heavier than usual I wouldn’t be surprised to find a few vulnerable trees fallen over by tomorrow. The rain should ease up soon though, according to the radar.
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1 hour ago, Loadsa2000 said:
Was going down the van at St Davids today, decided to stay home. see what its like tomorrow
The MetOffice has now extended the wind warning through Saturday as well. Here the wind is strong and gusty, not really damaging, but I have moved the car away from under the trees - can’t be too careful!
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The Atlantic rain and wind have arrived as promised with the strongest wind gusts here likely to occur between 1000 and 1400. So far nothing exceptional - just a typical wet and windy morning - but it looks like a day to stay indoors if possible.
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A MetOffice warning for high winds has been issued for South and West Wales tomorrow. Here is the peak gusts chart for 2:00pm tomorrow courtesy of the UKMO:
80kph = 50mph. Might be worth checking those sweet pea stakes…..
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Looks like a wet week for most of us according to the ECM up to Sunday midnight (accumulated rainfall chart)…..
I know we were worried about a lack of rain recently but is this over-compensating?
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It’s a really unpleasant day for July here, with heavy rain and strong winds, almost stormy conditions, and no chance of seeing the sun. More of the same in the next week with no settled weather in the medium term outlook. Looks like I’ll be relying on August to bring Summer back because I did enjoy those lovely weeks in June….
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On 07/07/2023 at 14:18, cheeky_monkey said:
funny that we dont see just stop oil and the like stopping sporting events and blocking traffic in China etc i wonder why
When the mountain glaciers have retreated far enough to restrict Chinas fresh water rivers and their cities start to experience water shortages, then we might see China take climate change seriously. Industrial pollution doesn’t seem to bother them, though.
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A wet and breezy start this morning has given way to gradually decreasing cloud cover and less wind. Might just end up with a decent weekend again but next week looks cooler and less settled with low pressure forecast to hang around pretty much for the next two weeks as things stand. We’ve gone straight from Spring to Autumn here - but never say that summer is over!
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Having read this thread from the beginning it’s clear that the majority of us are now agreed that the global climate is changing to a more chaotic and unpredictable state more rapidly than would occur naturally without the presence of human activity, transport and industry. The speed and real consequences of these changes are more difficult to assess and presently could be described as ‘unknowns’ and so, as humans with a finite life expectancy, we tend to only consider how it might affect us personally. Humans are basically selfish, driven by personal self-preservation, and because many of the predicted life-affecting changes are not likely to occur within the lifetime of any living human, humanity as a whole is not yet really taking concerted global action to preserve a climate which is comfortable for human existence in the centuries ahead.
Whilst the UK and a few other countries are, at great cost, making an effort to cut out hydrocarbons from their energy production and transport industries in the relatively near future, other countries with huge populations are not. A large chunk of the worlds population in places such as China, India, Brazil and even the USA continue to burn increasing amounts of coal, cut down forests as fast as they can and grow unsustainable cash crops with no regard whatsoever for the future of the global climate. So the question forming in my selfish, self-preserving human mind is:
Why are we in the UK so concerned with achieving net zero and creating an energy crisis for ourselves, pretty much destroying what’s left of our manufacturing and economic prowess, while China et al are doing the exact opposite?
Is there any virtue in impoverishing our own country if there is little or no measurable effect on the global climate, because all our efforts to mitigate it are cancelled out by other countries burning an even bigger share of the worlds hydrocarbons than we are saving? If future generations of UK citizens are going to suffer the effects of climate change anyway, due to the activities of others over which we have no control, then shouldn’t we at least leave them with a country which is self sufficient in energy, and still able to compete in the worlds economy? Otherwise are we not doing our future generations a great disservice?
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A cool, breezy morning today with plenty of cloud and occasional sunshine - and it’s not raining. Very useable weather but not so good for beach lovers. Might be a touch warmer by the weekend.
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The wind has dropped and, after early rain, this morning is looking cloudy and cool with the chance of some sunshine later. Everywhere is looking green and well watered now and even the grass has started to grow again! Not too bad.
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20 minutes ago, Wetterfrosch said:
Feels rather autumnal out there today. At least, some more substantial rain to go with it plus the outlook of gradually rising temperatures heading into next weekend, albeit with showers or possibly even thunderstorms for some of us which would be ideal from a gardener's point of view.
Exactly what I was thinking earlier - rather more like an October morning than July. The winds are strong enough here to blow perfectly healthy leaves off the trees in large numbers so it’ll begin to look like autumn too if it continues much longer! I’ve had to go round and stake a lot of normally self-supporting plants in the garden to avoid them being flattened! It’s quite warm though and the sun is now trying to come out again so it’s not all bad…..
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I think all risk of early drought conditions in this part of the country has dissolved now, as we have had plenty of moderate rain over the last few days even though there has also been quite a bit of sunshine too. However, the most noticeable weather feature over the last two days has been the wind which has been strong and gusty at times, and this morning seems to have increased again accompanied by some heavy showers earlier.
Not what I would like to see in early July and hopefully we will see some calmer weather again soon.
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Never mind the current state of the models, the CFS 18z shows a clear route back to high pressure and only 19 days away…..!
Not long to wait, then!
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High summer has definitely departed Pembrokeshire for the time being - two wet mornings in a row and a mostly cloudy day yesterday have brought temperatures down by 5-6C. These conditions may persist for a week or more now but we’ve still got two full months of summer to come and we really have had a wonderful spell of weather so far. Some rain is essential to prevent drought conditions occurring so I’m happy for the cooler spell to continue for now while looking forward to the next heatwave, probably in July.
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After weeks of a persistent easterly / north easterly flow, bringing dry and sunny weather to this area, we now have a complete change of wind direction back to the more usual south-westerly. This has brought back a string of moderate to heavy showers from the Atlantic overnight and this morning which has done wonders to water the gardens and the farmland around here. Even more rain is forecast for tomorrow but the predictions of rain for this location haven’t been very accurate recently (including repeated warnings of thunderstorms which never arrived!) and at the moment I’m finding that the best way to know what the weather is going to do is to look out of the window….
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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Wales / Cymru weather discussion
Posted
A generally wet few days to come with some areas getting more than their fair share of rain according to the UKMO charts….
This shows accumulated rain totals for Wales up to 1:00am Tuesday…
That’s a poor look for July and not the way we want to see the school holidays start, especially as much of Europe is too hot for enjoyment according to the news!
At least the hills are safe from wildfires for the time being….