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Blessed Weather

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About Blessed Weather

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Hadleigh, Suffolk
  • Interests
    Weather extremes, mountains and skiing, foreign travel, British pubs. As a 10 year old I experienced the 1962/63 winter which was the start of my life-long interest in all things weather related. The family had just moved into a new-build house on the top of a hill in Wales when the blizzard struck overnight. I woke up with my bedroom window sill covered in snow. In the bathroom the sill was covered and the bath was full of several inches of snow. The water in the toilet was frozen. Oh the joy of badly fitting, draughty wooden windows... and only a coal fire in the living room to warm the entire house!
    My first skiing trip to the Alps was in 1966. It was a school trip to Solden in Austria and we travelled by train across Europe. It was my first trip abroad and I hardly slept all way with the excitement. It led to a life-long passion for all things skiing and mountain and nowadays I try and have a few ski holidays a year if I can, spreading my visits across the Alps and try to visit less well known resorts as well as the usual suspects.
    My other passion is rugby and coming from Dinas Powys in South Wales I'm naturally enough a Wales fan. I now live in Suffolk (job move) but regularly travel back in Wales where my parents still live.
    My avatar is inspired by Brian Blessed - absolutely awesome in panto!!
  • Weather Preferences
    An Alpine climate - snowy winters and sunny summers!

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  1. Yes, bubbling up nicely across the Channel and very slowly creeping over the water towards Kent. Radar 07.10:
  2. Hi Pokeman. Welcome to Netweather. I moved this post from the Storms forum over to our Regional discussions here, were it's more appropriate. (Otherwise the Storms forum gets full with posts asking when a storm will hit a their location). I don't who "they" were with the forecast of storms for Kent on Monday, but a look at the weather models this morning confirms that Kent is in the firing line from later today with storms coming up from France and the risk continues right through Thursday and Friday. Here's how the high res model NMM sees the period playing out, with this sequence from 16.00 today to midnight Saturday: Source: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=3&mode=1&map=5
  3. Indeed looking interesting for this morning. Convection kicking off all over the Region atm with an active cell on the South Coast. Arome fairly bullish about the activity developing during the morning. Radar 08.05: Arome 10.00:
  4. A wonderful day! Topped out at 30C here in the end, so 3 days running of getting into the thirties. Interesting that the increased enjoyment in my neck of the woods was probably down to the humidity dropping from 89% at the start of the day to 42% by 16.00. All thanks to the breeze coming in off the North Sea. And a stunning sunset to end the day.
  5. We'd better get used to more frequent heatwaves. Here's some interesting analysis by Dan Holley at Weatherquest showing the increasing occurrences over recent decades: "The UK has only recorded 37+°C on 4 days: 03 Aug 1990, 10 Aug 2003, 25 Jul 2019, 31 Jul 2020. Exceeding 33°C occurred 2-3 years per decade in the 1960s to 1980s; however, this happened in 8 of the past 10 years. The average ≥30°C days per year has increased from 5 in 1990 to 9 in 2019." Source: Twitter @danholley_ The last three days here in South Suffolk have been 34C, 32C and today (as at 15.00) 30C.
  6. Arpege supportive of the MetOffice view of today with lots of cloud about. Here's the cloud forecast sequence from this morning through to 22.00 tonight and black is clear with white cloudy. Late morning looks best for some clear breaks or thin cloud, with this afternoon looking cloudier. Already up to 22.8C here at 08.30 and it's cloudy.
  7. It's been the hottest August day in our Region since 2003 with Heathrow and Kew Gardens reaching 36.4°C. For the eastern half of the Region lighter winds with a southerly flow also meant today was warmer than last Friday, with Santon Downham, at 35.3C, the East Anglia hotspot. Chart courtesy of Dan Holley, Weatherquest. Twitter @danholley_
  8. For the record, July 2020 in the East: Temperatures: Slightly cooler than average (-0.3°C) but with the hottest day reaching 36°C on the 31st Rainfall: Near-normal (99%) Sunshine: Slightly below-average (89%) With thanks to Weatherquest via Twitter @danholley_
  9. A beautiful start with clear skies over almost the entire Region (before the cloud builds later). I've got the patio door open and it's lovely to have some refreshing air coming into the house. Looking like the heat is back with a vengeance from Weds of this coming week. The battle to keep plants in gardens and allotments alive looks set to continue, with GFS suggesting hardly any rain for us over the next ten days. The chart showing quite a NW/SE rainfall split over the UK: Cum precip to 11th Aug:
  10. A wonderful day, reaching a temp of 26.3C here at 14.55. Me and Mrs Blessed enjoyed a drink in my local's beer garden late this afternoon with some passing cirrus clouds making a great skyscape above the pub.
  11. A few lovely days of summer heat coming up, but not without a possible mini interruption to our enjoyment late Friday afternoon and evening as a decaying cold front moves through with the risk of some patchy, showery rain to dampen the bbq coals. But nonetheless hot and hopefully the front will just bring a band of cloud for a few hours. Friday forecast: Arpege temps & precip 18.00: Fax chart showing decaying cold front Friday midnight:
  12. And here's the evidence that your observation was spot on Mark. In fact, both bands of rain coming through the Region yesterday (Sat) rapidly lost their oomph as they progressed east. We both posted about the first pulse in the afternoon, but look how it had fragmented and fizzled by 18.00: And then the second band at 21.00 and again at 22.30 (and for interest, the NMM forecast earlier in the day was spot on with the timing): As a result of the fizzle effect, it's no surprise to see greater rainfall totals in the west of the Region yesterday with not much rain for some on the very east coast. It looks like Pete's vegetable patch up in Beccles might not have received enough to keep his marrows happy. For the record, 9.4mm here in Hadleigh, South Suffolk. Netwx Radar rainfall totals Saturday:
  13. Lightning activity now moved into Norfolk. This all seems to be coming through much earlier than the models were suggesting this morning. 16.35: Source: http://www.lightningmaps.org/?lang=en#m=oss;t=3;s=0;o=0;b=;ts=0;
  14. I'll raise you a 'wow' Mark. The rainfall echo for the south of the Region looking impressive and with a line of lightning activity in there too. This at 15.05:
  15. Nice to be looking forward to some interesting weather today. A cold front coming through later will bring a line of heavy rain with the possibility of hail, gusty winds and even a "slight" chance of lightning. There are some small differences in the exact timing of this by the NWP models, for example here's the view of NMM and Arpege for 21.00 this evening: The Convective Weather forecast provides an excellent narrative. Note their last sentence: "......a small window of opportunity may exist around midday/early afternoon in the Cambs/Lincs/Norfolk vicinity before increasing cloud dilutes insolation and reduces surface temperatures. Otherwise, it may be the evening hours that offer the best potential for deep convection and heavy showers / a few thunderstorms. One or two pronounced SW-NE convergence zones may develop, the lines of showers then migrating generally eastwards with time while individual cells track to the NE. Shear will be stronger here under the influence of a mid-level jet, and 30-40kts DLS may aid in cell organisation and longevity - especially across southern and eastern England. Hail up to 1.5cm in diameter may be possible, alongside gusts of 35-45mph. Low cloud bases and locally enhanced vorticity could produce an isolated tornado. Activity may persist / keep developing until the early hours, before finally clearing to the North Sea. Confidence on lightning coverage over England is rather low, but have tentatively introduced a SLIGHT where some sporadic lightning is considered most likely." Source: http://www.convectiveweather.co.uk/forecast.php?date=2020-07-25
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