captaincroc
-
Posts
645 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by captaincroc
-
-
29 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:
I’m gonna give this spell 7/10. A rare snowfall for central Manchester and it was so special seeing the city turn into a winter wonderland. Would have scored it higher if the snow had lasted a bit longer, that pesky mild sector!
Nice to wake up to another dusting this morning and to see the frozen Manchester Bolton & Bury canal covered in snow, pic below. Can’t wait for the area to be developed and for that area to turn into a little park.
I also think I might get this photo framed: the skyscrapers disappearing into a snowy mist.
I agree, epic photo! Like I said, you can't beat urban snow.
-
6
-
-
Beautiful morning, dusting of powder/dry type snow, had a really early walk this morning (sunrise) was beautiful...as have a job interview so had to take him out early. Was STUNNING with twilight and the snow covered ground.
-
8
-
-
I do love watching the showers change course as the wind changes. You can see them veering as we speak. Fingers crossed for us all tonight! #FlakesPlease
-
7
-
-
Looks a lot better you're right. Was nothing this morning.
-
6
-
-
1 hour ago, Joe Bloggs said:
00z GFS and WRF looking quite promising for later @Chris.R is it the 2km model you look at and rate? That one shows quite a heavy batch of snow showers moving through the NW.
Arome, Arpege and Harmonie all have the showers too but perhaps more isolated/lighter.
UKV shows nothing except for the Wirral coast.
Again a good test of the high-res models. The MetO aren’t interested as their model isn’t going for it.
Not expecting much if anything here but if WRF is correct you never know! I was reading about the WRF model and it is allegedly very good at predicting convective events/precip.
Cheers for these Joe! Really handy when in a rush and haven't got time to go through them all.
-
5
-
-
29 minutes ago, Dark Horse said:
I see your point. A lot of things in life that are "exciting" do tend to lose their appeal after a while. I'll always love snow no matter if it's a light cover but I'd really like to see a really disruptive fall, a truly extreme event like 60cm of snow like what they get with a nor'easter in the states and even huger drifts with it. The question is what happens if that 60cm happens? Would we want even more than that to be satisfied again?
I always thought this too. I think my 'dream' is to see a proper extreme snow event in my area. Snowdrifts, etc..roads cut off. But if we get that will be satisfied again? It's a bit like model fatigue even in cold weather as once we get it then we are kinda 'done'.
Yesterday was a joy to see, yeah it was barely a covering but it was SO pretty and so rare to have a 'Canadian morning' (my new phrase haha) where nothing has melted, everything is dry, no dripping and it was stunning. Took the dog for the longest walk and then even sat out in my garden for a good hour with a coffee just chillin and soaking it up. As minimal fall as that was it kinda gave me my fix I think! Obviously I want more but I got my dopamine hit from that! As a slushy two inches does nothing for me...
Fingers crossed for a few more flakes before the obese lady belts this weekend. haha.
-
8
-
-
- Popular Post
I've been thinking a lot of the 'chase' of cold and to be honest the novelty does wear off quicker and quicker each year. They seem to take an age to come - that's if they do - and then get watered down as our climate normally makes sure normality resumes. America is always going to get it worse as the mass land mass keeps the cold, where as we are surrounded by warm waters so if any cold does come our way it normally breeds shortwaves, lows and spoilers quicker than Gremlins pop out after a glass of water is poured on them.
I think what makes it, is this thread really, the 'nowcasting' and updates as to what is going on. Yes I would love to see a good dumping in Crewe but second to that is seeing reports from around the area, I get a brew and scroll reading all your posts, pics etc. Like Day 10 I think I will take a break from it all this weekend and ignore the models for a while, of course I will bob in to check periodically but another wet/stormy spell doesn't excite me that much.
This is not a downbeat message, I just think I'm becoming less bothered about the models and the 'chase' as I was. Don't get me wrong, as soon as the fluffy stuff is here I am buzzing like a kid in a sweet shop...that love will never die...but it is exhausting and hard not to get emotionally charged one way or another when a spell gets downgraded etc. I think a 'what will be, will be' approach will be mine moving forward and then if something does materialise I shall share it all with you lovely lot.
Before I take a break, it looks hopeful for some flakes Thursday?
-
12
-
The front does look a lot more south than expected (just looking at the Met office radar/prediction map). Does this mean the colder air could sweep south quicker too?
-
4
-
-
5 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:
So giddy @captaincroc!!
Such a good event here. Some more pics. Maybe one last hurrah judging by the radar?
Just love seeing urban areas covered in snow, I think it's prettier than in the countryside.
Let's hope some more surprises appear the next few days, if not then I aint bothered as got my fix this morning. Even sat out in my garden with a coffee to soak it up. My dog thought I was mad...though he was just as mad as tried to eat the snow! haha.
-
4
-
-
So buzzing to catch up with the last 12 hours, loved reading the build up ad reports etc. To echo Aaron et al we have snow in Crewe. Yes it wasn't much and soon moved away...BUT this is the snow I LOVE, because as some have mentioned...it's dry snow. This is SO rare in Crewe and it was so beautiful to walk my dog in dry air with power snow and at my feet with NO drip drip drip. Someone else said it but it looked like a Canadian morning...no snow melt and everywhere covered with no wet 'melting' spots. I can count on both hands the amount of times I've seen that in Crewe. All the snow was intact, even added photo of a close up on my garden chair with the snow crystals in full form.
It's now melting but to get to see it in the light looking like an Canadian morning was beautiful. Weirdly I'm glad it moved away as temp dropped and got to see the sunrise with it all. Keep the reports coming people, love to read them.
P.s can feel your giddiness @Joe Bloggs. There is nothing prettier than seeing an urban area covered in dry snow!
-
9
-
-
Nice little cheeky graupel shower overnight, like icing sugar but very pretty walking Charlie (The dog) in it.
-
6
-
-
5 hours ago, Weather-history said:
GEM 0z looks one of the best runs for snow chances for the region
I copied this from the MOD thread to paste in here and you had already shared it. It's SO rare to have Cheshire as the place with the most snow forecast, normally the colours are always diluted with whites and pinks all around. Might save that for the memory
I agree with some of the comments in here today about this being a friendly/great thread. I've said before that I am a fair/coldweather Netweather-er so drop in and out but you guys are my go to when there is something brewing.
To echo Joe Bloggs et al, I think we are in for a cracking week with so much potential, If Kasim(really respect your input!) is correct it could be dry but it might not be if things come together, and it will be a fun week of weather watching that's for sure. I personally think in such low uppers with low pressure and low dams around that things will pop up. Either way, at least we have a chance of something happening rather than relentless wind and rain with the possibilty of some transitional wet snow for a few hours...what we have now is totally my scene.
-
8
-
-
I'm lazy so just screenshot a post from the MOD thread but this is what's exciting me... Southern Jet with very cold uppers and lots of low pressures flailing about.
-
7
-
-
5 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:
06z GFS - THIS is what we want in the NW. A genuine Arctic feed with sub -10C uppers off the Irish Sea. A stunning chart.
Forget lows pushing into the cold pool - that’s fraught with risk and so many of us would miss out.
This is far better.
-
6
-
-
- Popular Post
Morning all.
Looks like were 'on' in the terms of something more exciting to come, so many options on the table. I shall be keeping this tab open for the foreseable.
It's quite funny as I know it's called the MAD thread but geez. I get it that you want it to snow at your house but for me I always want a proper country wide 'classic' freeze and that's why I go in there. I've always noticed a slant more towards the 'south', posting wise but the past few days have been off the charts!
. "Snow for the south....classic run (When its snowing in south)...downgrade (when lots have upgraded but they're in a quick milder spot)...etc etc". Literally only posting of snow in the south (ECM charts). I get it, of course there is IMBY-ness but they might as well say, "Windsors going to get plastered....snow for Winsor...better run for winsor" ( replace with any town name)...save that for the regionals.
Will browse there but mainly stay with my homies in here! Let's strap ourselves in!-
10
-
It's funny, I was thinking last week that when the potential for this spell started to be modelled and we had north easterlies planned with the remnants of the vortex to our east, that everytime this is modelled, as we get closer it never seems to happen as shortwaves blow up (probably due to the cold air) to our south west and then in later runs they attack. So have been smiling - through frustrated teeth - seeing that happen the past 48 hours. Still excited what this spell bring - as the cold looks locked in to at least get here - but those phantom 'Cobra meeting' North Easterlies never seem to come off. It has the potential to be high risk, high gain but it only takes a slight expansion of the shortwave to create a big low and heavy rain.I do think we might be on the good side of this time but always seems to happen.
-
7
-
-
20 minutes ago, Backtrack said:
Super dry air out there this morning from the continent. Really has a different feel to it doesn’t it. Very little ice despite it being close to freezing when I got up, no moisture in the air. What a refreshing change.
Honestly, can someone tell me how long we’ve actually been locked into that disgusting pattern we’ve just emerged from? Because it feels like an eternity. Breath of fresh air this morning (literally).
Yeah I agree. I love a continental cold day, like you said it just feels different.
-
7
-
-
Snow flurries here, well those tiny balls of snow. Looks a bit like hail.
-
7
-
-
- Popular Post
This from the Icon 6z. Yes, may not be the best for rainfall projections but looks pretty interesting for this eve and tonight for the southern parts of the region.
-
12
-
7 hours ago, Weather-history said:
Outrageous
This for me is the snow dream. I've always wanted to experience a proper blizzard in my town, yeah we have had strong winds but always wanted to see what it would be like with below zero temps, heavy snow and strong winds. I have always suspected the only true way would be something that spun down from the north with uber cold air attached.
I know some people have experienced blizzards with sliders etc but in Crewe we are in the rain shadow as the winds are normally South Easterly in those set ups. This scenario above would truly bring a Christmas blizzard.-
8
-
-
Right, looks like it nearly done here and I'm pooped. So off bed. Fooking love this forum on nights like this. Bloody love ya all.
Some snow is left when i awake.
Good luck to the rest of you for some of the white stuff
-
7
-
-
Bbc app says 0c tonight (so minimal thaw).
Met O App says temps climbing above freezing to 3c.
Would be nice for there to be minimal thaw.
-
4
-
-
Plus I loved it when you get enough cover of snow that it seems SO much lighter outside.
Agree with Aaron too, best time of the year for snow.
Anyways, behind on the weather shiz but I'm hoping for minimal thaw tonight. Is it meant to be clear up?
2 minutes ago, Ashley Rea said:I think you need to edit that my friend, bit of a strong punishment for forgetting your password haha
. Edited. Thank you
-
5
-
-
Moved to my phone as off bed but got locked out as I forgot my password!
Still pelting it here. Even the road tracks are getting covered over
-
7
-
Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards
in Northwest Weather Discussion
Posted
It's funny... When sliders are forecast they either slip south or they blow up more, ending up with milder air and a more northerly/mild track. They never seem to just 'be'.