BM4PM
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Everything posted by BM4PM
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Since when did we name blizzards a storm called Emma?
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Goodnight everyone I'm throwing in towel. What a night to remember! Makes all of the obsessive behaviour worth it to get a glimpse of what a true blizzard is like. Every time we get a big storm I always think "what if this was snow" well now I now!
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Freezing rain here but the met app has it turning back to snow in the next hour.. if its raining where you are stick your head out of the window and you should hear (when the wind drops) a distinctive tinging noise as the rain drops hit the surface.
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Nice blob coming into South Devon probably gona be rain but as long as the lamppost doesn't drip I don't mind
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Following link for anybody who wants to know what freezing rain is. Or you can carry on making missinformed statements http://January_1998_North_American_ice_storm
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Ok who switch on the Plymouth snow shelf!
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Somebody correct me if im wrong. With +0 850s the snow will melt at that level and turn to rain but as the surface cold is still there it will freeze as it hits the surface. So freezing rain rather than snow. Lovely!
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Sign of a true cold snap if it snows on the lizzard. Fantastic!
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Been snowing on and of in plym too. Don't worry it's coming at ya!
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Was greated by trafic jams whilst trying to get to the gym at 9.30 this morning so turned around and gave up. It's not even bloody snowed yet!
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OK sleet has stopped now as forcasted. All eyes on the radar now. What are the chances of a polar low developing over the warm Irish sea?....I can dream
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Snow/sleet in good old plym
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Showing heavy snow/sleet mix around plymouth airport from about 3pm onwards. I think our best chace down here is if we catch a heavy shower later on once the the cold air gets in. I'm not holding by breath. My wait for a repeat of Jan 1987 continues..................
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Quite an extreem met weather warning for the north. Heavy snow accompanied by 55 mile an hour gusts bringing blizzard conditions, with posible lightning strikes causing disruption to power supplies. Im not in the slightest jealous......
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It happens everytime. No way I'm getting sucked into this one. Perhaps the north will see some of the white stuff but for me I'd rather keep the blue skys going.
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Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.
BM4PM replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Correct me if I'm wrong but wasn't it the gfs that first backtracked from the infamous Dec 2012 beast from the east. Granted this is a completely different situation. -
Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.
BM4PM replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed! Also the average anomalies over north west Scotland would suggests to me the that the jet is riding over the block. I am no expert though, so if I'm seeing that wrong please feel free to correct me lol -
I wonder if the cold Atlantic waters would improve our chances of snow from a north westerly due to less modification of the flow at the surface. Just a theory, perhaps someone with more knowledge could clarify?
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Model Output Discussion 29th December - Into mid-Winter.
BM4PM replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Next weekend is far from resolved with the ecm still showing a northerly of sorts. Will be interesting to see if the the gfs op has the backing of is its ensembles (highly unlikely) as this would give us more confidence that the op has the correct solution. At the moment as long as the met outlook is still forcasting a n/easterly I'm still hopefully. All to play for in my opinion. -
I know what happened to the cold frosty weekend. Its nowhere near as cold as it was forcasted a couple of days ago. Its not even cold enougth on dartmoor for snow now. Cant believe how wrong the models have been! I just hope that they get it wrong again and we tap in to more of the cold air to our east.
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The mrs gets me every year. “O look its snowing” so i shoot up out of my chair and all i hear is her snidey giggle.
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Just like feb 2013 when the met put a amber warning out for south devon and we didnt even see a flake. I remember sat watching a huge blob of percipitation on the radar stall about ten miles of the coast. I think jersy had a foot that night. Absolutly gutted! I dont think ive ever recovered from that one.
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Think the problem is that some of the posters in there genually dont know what they`re on about so it gives a mixed picture when you read it. Its a shame, some of them are very knowledgeable and they put a lot of effort into their posts, only for all of it to be ruined by rampers and wined up merchants.
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I reckon just about anywhere will see a flake but temps are to high for it to settle. After all the mild weather we`ve had, sea temps around the coasts are high which modifys the air. I surf and ive never felt the water as warm as it has been, this far into the winter. Dartmoor, mendips and coltswolds would be your best bet for a few cm.
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Was on the 10 day glace forcast from netweather. Makes me wonder how they came up with 6%, as imo its 0%. Reckon you may be in with a shout of seeing a flake or two.
