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  1. The warning (MetO) is for Thursday afternoon so I'd assume not. Nice start to the day though.
  2. Agree we do need the ECM on board, BUT it's not game over until we've got some sort of agreement. Yes it has the best verification stats, but last time I checked it wasn't 100%. Very exciting times and I await 6z with interest. What a time to be alive.
  3. Certainly enough to make me a little nervous. Only a little bit mind. Important 12zs later.
  4. 1 things for sure - It's been a great start from a model watching perspective for the upcoming silly season. Awaiting 0z with interest.
  5. Over the last 4 weeks, the models have consistently underestimated how hard the cold is to shift to our east. It's finally progressed this way. Can we be confident that by this time next week the cold will be gone?
  6. Best run I've seen for what feels like forever. Tonight's runs are going to be good! ECM inc!
  7. For what it's worth - I think we're going to get strange results for the next few days from all models. Even if ensembles are clustered colder\mild - I also think we'll see them jumping about. I can't remember the last time I saw such differences from all models at such short time frames which tells me all I need to know. One things for sure, it's keeping me glued to the screen! Great time to be watching.
  8. One thing is for sure... we've got to be getting to decider time now. Tonight's runs will make or break and identify the culprit. I too am with you on the Euro's... Critical runs tonight.
  9. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/learn-about-the-weather/weather-phenomena/case-studies/severe-winters
  10. In theory - Nothing. I shouldn't worry to much. I have been pretty bullish to friends\family that anything that falls later today will be snow. I remain confident. MET now have us under a yellow warning for snow (mentions hail\rain too) The warning for later today was issued this morning, which indicates the headaches they are having with everything going on. Lot's to be positive about as we head into the weekend and into next week too.
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