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Everything posted by Nimbusman

  1. A cracking spell of sleet here now This event was so marginal for here but I suppose it was always going to be thus so can’t be too dispondant. Back to medium long term prospect again for me and the hunt for some more winter....
  2. Brief spell of light snow here in Ipswich in the early hours but no covering to speak of, in fact it melted what leftover snow there was remaining from the other day! temps and dp were too marginal. That’s still the case the morning. Looks like some people did ok around the region but haven’t seen any decent depths reported (7cm+) so far... Wintry mix today/this weekend and a few more sliders going forward seems to be the theme... give me a solid ENE any day!
  3. Finally in the game here in Ipswich! Light to moderate snow falling now with a brisk north easterly breeze
  4. Yeah straight northerlies without some oomph are a waste of space unless you live in Norfolk! I actually meant a NEE wind for here is the jackpot direction. As you say seen many 20cm falls from that. Defo something brewing with regards to HLB into the next week. The Siberian high has been meandering with intent
  5. Agreed Chris, NNE is the one for us here in Suffolk but anything from N to E wind direction suits Norfolk. Speaking of which the 6z pipes up with an scandi high...
  6. Very harsh frost tonight and plenty of freezing fog around too
  7. Moving away from the slight disappointment of the short term here locally I’ve been looking mid term again and on the face it’s not looking ovelry cold (defo not mild though), so would be good to hear your thoughts on next week Steve? More HLB to appear as a response to the SSW downwell as we move through into week 2 and the weakening jet pushed further south? Siberian high seems to be excerting it’s presence more and more perhaps edging slightly further westwards into Scandi?
  8. Yes Nick if you’re south of London looking potentially excellent further north in the region expect little more than a dusting (sadly trending the wrong way for us in the north east). Outside chance of something Saturday morning...
  9. Very good point, it’s never easy in the country is it?! The marginality was the major issue last night with the front arriving quicker than expected, the temps and dew points took much longer to drop to more snow conducive levels over here in the east. As an aside it looks like there could be some very low minima tonight in the region and freezing fog so a real wintry flavour continues!
  10. Cheers for the reply. Fingers crossed with the angle of attack being slightly more favourable too. Just saw the charts Nick posted for Thursday and Saturday morning and North Essex and Suffolk are right on the edge of ‘interesting’ I’ve accepted over the many years that an east coast locale in these set up can be difficult to get decent snowfall from. Having said that im still hoping for some positive adjustments in the the next 24 hours!
  11. Looks game over for anyone north of M4 then Kold? Sorry haven’t had a chance to check the charts thoroughly this morning yet but I’m sensing this will be nothing more than a dusting for the north and east of region?
  12. Very slight dusting here in Ipswich too far east in these set ups despite what some models were projecting. Southern counties and Kent look great again for Thursday but not expecting anything here - geographically hamstrung again! Hopefully there’ll be more chances left this winter but was nice to snow falling after a long long wait!
  13. Now properly snowing here in Ipswich, taken a while with temp and dew still dropping!
  14. Exactly the same rhetoric from Look East too. Likely to see snow falling but not much settling going off that although the Met office chart from their live cast earlier showed snow from 5pm to midnight over most of the region
  15. Going off that live forecast it looks like the Met Office are expecting the transition to snow around nightfall and the front pushing through by midnight
  16. Some light snow falling here now with some big flakes mixed in, won’t be much but nice to see the first snow of 2019. Pretty hard frost last night too!
  17. Certainly looks like the brisk northerly is on for Sunday according to the GFS 6z ensembles (para agrees.. and some!) and the trough sinking south in the following few days. How far south and east it goes varies and if we get the ridge behind to link to the Siberian high but definitely some more genuine interest now again after the easterly failure last week.
  18. Just mentioned this on the BBC forecast too and by the looks of the radar the eastern side of the region could be in on the action soon... pivot!!!
  19. Better heights in the Griceland area on this run although nothing major, was expecting the trough to sink through into Europe again... *edit : there you go! Northerly...
  20. A second bite of the cherry coming next few frames perhaps? ECM really blows up the low at the southern tip of Greenland between 96h and 120h
  21. Decent looking mean by Thursday too (which is where the split in the ensembles occurs) Also how often historically has HLB been modelled to be pushed away very quickly whereas in reality its much harder to shift. The arctic high looks like it gets muscled away too swiftly. My interest remains
  22. Agreed Kold. Also flicking through the ensembles still lots of very cold options on the table and some easterlies still hanging in there... perm 16 and 8 not letting it go! Despite the distinct move away in the last 24 hours there's plenty to play for as we go into Feb.
  23. Oh yes, the low exiting the US disrupts, the trough drops and the two highs link up... boom!
  24. Yes Steve... what a clonker!! Key here is for the disruption to be kind and push the trough well into Europe and getting those heights setting up over the Barents Sea allowing some deep cold advection. Tasty!
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