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Everything posted by Daniel*
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Great news Haha I was just about to the post^^ You folks are too quick there are no definites! as I've highlighted many times. La upgrades are coming you watch... -
South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
A seasonal ish start to January with some lengthy sunshine quite wet interspersed. Happy POETS day, good to have a lay in. I suspect we'll see some flakes next week, not expecting anything substantial, well who knows with weather. Parts of central belt experienced a good snowfall with -2C > -3C uppers. -
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
No this is not true we do not have cross model agreement up to +120, ignore these models if you want all of which have the capability to bring sustained cold. JMA @120hr UKMO @120hr CMA +120hr GEM eventually gets there +168hr -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A bit different? v different outcomes... Met Office went largely with their raw data yesterday. In their fax charts - explain that, can't be that lost? I think the UKMO is more on the ball, we'll see. The evening ECM is going to be a critical one, I think we will see upgrades coming. -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Cold spell has not even arrived by then - cold conditions filtering down UK on Tuesday. Monday according to the UKMO.
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Currently FI is around T+96 mark yet folk are looking at day 7/8/9/10? Quite petty stuff. The 12z will dictate what way the pendulum swings, I cannot get over how resolute UKMO is.
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South East and East Anglia weather discussion/Chat - A new year
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Regional
Good news. UKMO has been quite consistent I'm quite impressed, GFS on other hand has been bobbing up and down like a rubber duck. G'night All -
Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...
Daniel* replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
NNW for Aberdeen. http://www.xcweather.co.uk/observations Upper air temperatures just about cold enough for snow so not wholly surprising. -
Scotland Weather Discussion - 20th November 2015 and Onwards...
Daniel* replied to Methuselah's topic in Regional
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Done that nothing seems to be working? Tried on my phone as well, nope.
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The 18z last night experienced a wobble as well before 'correcting' in morning the model is a mess. It does not have a good grip in the mid range I'd take its ouput with great caution the models as a whole struggle with cold spells, GFS especially. Some seek a nirvana, which is frankly ridiculous, if you've been on this forum over years - you will know full well it's never an easy journey. -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes, im very confused I think it's a v good run we do not need a textbook Greenland high. -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I do not think so heights building to S not what we want, I'd definitely take UKMO that block seems sufficient. Although the longevity of cold may be somewhat reduced. -
Model Output Discussion - 05/01/2016 18z onwards
Daniel* replied to Captain Shortwave's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Current Cold Spell: snow where, snow when - how much?
Daniel* replied to Methuselah's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I think it is a reasonable update The Met Office are extremely conservative/safe. Usually behind the very latest as far as we the public are informed. -
Nothing at all. Just the profile photo box whatever you call it goes vertical on its own accord. Summat is up? Oddly I've not heard this reported by anyone else.
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Hi, I'm experiencing a problem while trying to get into the process of uploading a new profile pic. Nothing seems to be happening?