Daniel*

A hundred flood alerts people dismissed the wet weather but it has struck back with a vengeance.

Don’t understand this point Greater London alone is home to over 10 million people, people want to escape the city and have a change in scenery it’s not just about weather. Incomes are also higher that probably has a role. If you lived in SE especially coastal East Sussex where I spend quite a lot of time in summer, I think you would be shocked how much better summer climate is compared to back home in Northern Ireland. It’s noticeable even compared to London while it less warm the cloud free days are much more common. The summer is good on average and relative speaking it would be very good compared to what you deal with.

East London much wetter today locally nearing 10mm wetter than expected.

Agreed especially with the transition to cold ENSO very different to last summer.

Progression has really sped up in eastern tropical Pacific. I don’t think that’s particularly likely this year. Nino1.2 (-0.6C) Nino 3 (-0.2C) Nino 3.4 (+0.3C) Nino 4 (+0.8C)

Obviously not but wetter ground and the evaporation of said moisture takes more energy which can be used for surface heating. When it’s bone dry it’s all being utilised. There’s a reason why we saw 40C that summer the drought was crucial given how marginal 40C was, it would not have occurred otherwise. I’m very unconvinced if what occurred in September last year would have produced 40C last July/August given these months were more unsettled.

You're imagining that certainly not 2015 and 2018. Maybe you're involving NAVGEM junk model. I believe 2022 was first time NWP was interested in 40C and it actually happened, I don't think ECMWF either once forecast 40C too think it had 38/39c tops.

Only 2-4 years? The likelihood is we do not see that topped this decade. You understate how extreme that was in midst of worst European drought in 500 years.

The full month yes it correct the +6c is Cairngorm summit.

I’ve done that for Heathrow just focusing on meteorological summer.

That's not quite correct each year is becoming warmer but the new norm is warmer. Annual temperature for Heathrow 1973-2023. What we tend to see is stable periods then jump-ups.

Don't really agree winds have often been southwesterly unusually so coming from well above SSTs, there has been a big shortage of northerly winds we had a little spell in April but apart from that no real cold weather. It has also been cloudy meaning nights have been mild for most.

I’ve had no issues on my end.

For being effectively in middle of London with shocking light pollution I could not believe what my eyes well mostly the camera saw, but it was still there. We have experienced a historic night make no doubt. So wonderful to see so many out too and sharing the wonder.

I agree, I also had 4 tropical nights during that heatwave living in inner London it was brutal. The house was a brick oven it was unbearable, so bad it compelled me to buy a portable AC unit so I could actually sleep. I’ll never forget that heatwave.