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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    As long as one of the big three show unsettled, that will be the outcome. It always seems to happen like that. The UKMO has showed some more settled solutions over recent days, but not supported by other models.
  2. Djdazzle
    I wouldn't - it's happened loads of times. The last 5 days have been the most sunless that I can remember in June. This June is rapidly descending into one of the worst second halves I can remember. Another test of the models vs anomalies for the weekend. A trough parked over the UK was certainly not a favoured outcome. If that happens, we really are one of the unluckiest places.
  3. Djdazzle
    What a crap weekend - no sun whatsoever!
  4. Djdazzle
    The trend away from trough domination from midweek onwards seems to be continuing.
  5. Djdazzle
    Glad it’s hot in Iberia. When we do get our plume, it will be a hot one!
  6. Djdazzle
    I do love your positivity, even if it’s a bit “glass half full!” @Alderc is a bit more “glass half empty”, but he has a point that the next few days are crud for summer. Need a good ECM - this morning’s op was vile!
  7. Djdazzle
    I wouldn’t trust UKMO much more than ICON at the moment. The last couple of times when it’s put out a half-decent 144 chart, it’s disappeared on the next run and not supported by any other model.
  8. Djdazzle
    Well at least it can’t get worse than the last couple of days and the next few!
  9. Djdazzle
    Not really - just saying that in that run, it’s a perfect storm in that everything aligns perfectly badly to produce it. Therefore, the chance of it verifying is very low.
  10. Djdazzle
    Agreed. No way that is happening.
  11. Djdazzle
    Don’t fret about 144 onwards. The changing from run to run is ridiculous.
  12. Djdazzle
    On Monday, the UKMO 144 was showing 23C uppers for Sunday! Hoping UKMO is correct this time, but I’d like to see some support from the other models.
  13. Djdazzle
    There was no anomaly support for what we are experiencing now. They are useful, but not as infallible as some lead us to believe.
  14. Djdazzle
    Nothing overly worrying IMO. There are some good background signals. The problem with the NWP models is that they sniff a pattern and go hell for leather to continue it.
  15. Djdazzle
    Well it is the model thread! But it’s a bit hard to rely on them at the moment as they are all over the place. My gut feeling is that we won’t be stuck in a westerly pattern for too long.
  16. Djdazzle
    It just seems worse than usual! I’ve seen a cross between heatwaves, deluges and everything in between!
  17. Djdazzle
    It’s quite unusual for there to be no idea whatsoever about where things may be headed.
  18. Djdazzle
    Not sure I buy any evolution at the moment!
  19. Djdazzle
    There’s more to it than just the uppers: there may be cloud cover and showers with the LP close by.
  20. Djdazzle
    Very warm = 27C Hot = 32C Very hot = 35C Of course humidity can mean that values less than that could be in the same category.
  21. Djdazzle
    If ECM goes with it, then I think it'll be game on.
  22. Djdazzle
    I’ve seen 23C at midday get to 30C by 4pm. Unusual, but subtle changes in wind direction can have an impact.
  23. Djdazzle
    So is the 30C on for today? Some places already around 20C - so surely it’s possible if it stays clear?
  24. Djdazzle
    I can’t believe how much they ate swinging around beyond 4 days range. Have we really advanced in the last 10 years with modelling? A week’s time - heatwave or cool rubbish?
  25. Djdazzle
    Who’s worried about fictional rain charts! Great potential for heat and storms in the models - all good!
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