alexisj9

January 12

6 hours ago, Tom Quintavalle said:

Much thanks, Vortex3929.

Just a P.S. to my explanation. The "Channel Low" that resulted in the Snowstorm that struck our Region on the Evening of 30th December 1978, was pretty unusual with regard to its shape. Its centre was elongated and managed to maintain that shape, as it moved, along the English Channel:

Therefore, the flow remained in the East, from a frigid Continent.

I collected Newspaper cuttings of many severe Wintry outbreaks over our Region, and maximum temperatures in Cities and Towns the other side of the North Sea, were well below freezing on the preceding Friday and a few hours, before the Snowstorm struck.

What tends to happen when an area of Low Pressure approaches from the S.W. and engages bitter air on its Northern flank, the Ppn may start off as Snow but if the Low Pressure has more of a "Bowling Ball" shape, the flow will veer more to a S.E. or S.

This will result in Southern areas of the U.K., obviously including our Region, being infiltrated by milder air from the English Channel.

And like Anne Elk below, that's the theory anyway, ahem!!

Lows approaching from the S.W. are normally round and NOT thin and elongated, like the Channel Low of 30th December, 1978.

Meanwhile, the Low Forecast for next Week and possibly cause some disruptive Weather, just to prove me wrong has developed that elongated shape but has gone all "shy" on us, and disappeared over France:

Therefore, it could well remain mainly dry but cold next Week, until a possible warm up next Weekend.

Regards,

Tom Q.

Just to mention cold has definitely not gone on those charts, so basically people are moaning cause it's gonna be cold and sunny. Strange people as that's actually good weather for winter.

January 12

4 hours ago, 3cats said:

According to this app, we have flurries in 20 mins

Nope all rain, wouldn't be surprised if some of it in colder spots wasn't ice rain

January 12

8 hours ago, Vortex3929 said:

Does anyone actually know why the M4 is such a definitive feature in weather? Is it something to do with concerte/cement/asphalt etc retaining a temperature as opposed to surrounding locations and therefore acting as a "barrier", as I would make an uneducated guess at..?

Or is there a more defined and accepted reason? Really puzzling how it becomes such a defined feature when it comes to weather.. any opinions would be greatly appreciated

It's just the road which is closest to the line cold doesn't want to pass sometimes.

January 11

15 minutes ago, jmp223 said:

No offence but that looks like a three year old just took a crayon to the map.

Seriously, it's just showing the spread, each line is where certain lows are heading, and gives in this case a huge margin of choices. Screams if more runs needed.

January 11

2 hours ago, The Beast From The East said:

Well i just caught the Latest BBC local forcast 15 minutes ago for London and the SE and a very dissapointing outlook for next week. No mention of snow and only for average temperatures and heavy rain on Wednesday ....

Last night's ecm

January 11

42 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

I don't think there was any such streamer in early 2009.

There was a famous one, but it came from the east and literally shut SE London down for three days.

January 11

1 hour ago, winterof79 said:

Thank god someone else reads it like that.We were doing post mortems earlier and looking to February.Very cold next week and impossible to predict snowfall yet.

And slack does NOT mean no snow with very cold air off the Irish sea

No it doesn't, in fact slack often means there's room for a trough to form.

January 10

1 hour ago, Lord Grogon said:

Geez. Keep that one away from the Daily Express.

Going by there article today, already to late, they must have seen this somewhere lol

January 9

4 hours ago, lassie23 said:

yes if ever there was such thing as pointless snow we had it yesterday

There is no such thing , days like yesterday I call safe snow, you watch the beauty of it falling, and temporary coverings, then don't slip e everywhere afterwards.

January 9

58 minutes ago, Gazse9 said:

Yeah..has definitely got bigger in last 30mins...keeping an eye on it

Just had a proper look on sat, it coming all the way up from the Mediterranean sea.

January 8

Em anyone around Brighton seeing snow, looks like you are getting a se streamer on radar.

January 8

This might be of interest to some here, the full report of the Jersey tornado, official rating t6

The Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO)

WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK

TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland

January 8

Heavy stuff over for here, got only light stuff coming in from the channel, it tried but to many gaps for landing here. Was nice to see falling snow, well it's still snowing tbf.

January 8

1 minute ago, Southender said:

Yeah, ground is too warm and showers aren't heavy enough for long enough. Only hope is after dark for proper accumulation.

Where ever what is to the east hits now will have accumulation.

January 8

This looks like the main event and it's landing. Boom.

Edit glad my kids walk home from school, could be some problems for those further away, need to get up hill to get out of Dover.

January 8

2 minutes ago, Eagle Eye said:

Very weak precipitation here so it's just rain at the moment, maybe a few flakes mixed in as was quite cold on my face but not sharp.

Think that initial trough moving west, is the condition change point, seems colder behind it. Will probably be more later as even colder air moves west

January 8

I can stop moaning now seeing flakes lol.

Now got to hope it's not distruptive, mum and uncle arriving from London today by coach for tomorrow.

January 8

Just now, BLS said:

Had a light snow for about 2 minutes here stopped as got on train least seen some snow

Saw some in December which landed, we'll see what this lot does, sounds like by the time conditions are right, it'll be northwest of me.

January 8

Si far it's rain here.

January 8

8 hours ago, Neilsouth said:

What's not true? It was sleeting here, and a few flakes earlier too

The radar for here lol, the light blue stuff is nothing. Dark blue just rain so far.

January 7

22 hours ago, Whether Idle said:

Snow cover disposition by Tuesday morning from the WRF his res:

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=70&mode=26&map=5

Not good news for me unless it melts by 12:45, or to anyone coming down from Chelmsford or oxley.

21 hours ago, Neilsouth said:

Not just that, but now reporting sleet!

Not true lol, was nothing falling here, the heavier stuff though probably is.

January 6

3 hours ago, Methuselah said:

Sleet showers are now coming in off the North Sea. I'm getting ready for a fun few days!

It's much colder this afternoon than it was this morning. Cold is coming.

January 6

21 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

I'm afraid there are alerts for everything weather wise now days...what a mamby pamby lot the media are! Wouldn't bat an eye lid over this back in the 80's!

Just read your post Tom...all the best as well, here's to a rapid recovery!

Actually there always has been it just your getting the warnings now, probably a part of joining a weather community, you learn the links join whatever apps and get all the warnings available

January 5

9 minutes ago, MAF said:

just seen this on beeb site

seems it might get cold soon..... thought that's what winter did

Yep, it's supposed to at least, doesn't always bother though.

January 3

Great I bet the window people cancel again, like on Tuesday. Madness all this rain. At least we have upstairs done now, today.

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