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Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

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About Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

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    Cold winters hot summers please.

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  1. August looking like its going to be a very poor month summerwise. At least june and july were good. ps does anyone know how one can delete an account on this forum? i think it time for me to call it a day,amongst some very friendly knowledgable people here there are too many trolls and WUM for my liking and it would seem the mods/owner would much rather punish those who respond when they dont deal with it.
  2. just looked at ecm and nearly wet myselff. Then i remembered sheds famous make the most of the next week in early july as the jet is going to power up and bascally bring a very unsettled second half of july,then i actually did wet myself.l ol
  3. Pretty fantastic June is being followed by an amazing july. Heat and storms,plenty forweather enthusiasts to get their teeth into. Ibiza awaits tomorrow for a week would be great to come back home to nice weather too. Enjoy the storms guys and stay safe..
  4. Blimey this summer is shaping up to be a very good one indeed. Better than I expected anyway
  5. really poor beeb forecast just now looks a washout for many over the next few days :(

    1. Show previous comments  1 more
    2. lassie23

      lassie23

      Thought summer was around the corner!

    3. Cecil Hogmanay Melchett
    4. karyo

      karyo

      It looks settled for Manchester and the northwest england in general

  6. Some very useable weather coming up in the reliable timeframe if 12z gfs is to be believed with temps in the low to mid 20's for many out until middle of next week,loverly :D

  7. LOVELY GFS 12Z today with some very warm dry sunny weather on offer over the coming 7 days,places in the south must look very parched by now i would imagine a house pipe ban will be on the cards if the superb start to summer doent break soon..?

    1. Show previous comments  14 more
    2. Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      Hmmm thursday looks poor across the spine of england going off that beeb forecast i just watched,fri looks showery but warm with 23 and 24 deg widely.

    3. Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      Spoke to soon ecm in fi is awful lol

    4. shedhead

      shedhead

      Lol Cec, shortest ramp I've heard for a while.

  8. some very warm air arriving this week from the continent :)

    1. Show previous comments  11 more
    2. lassie23

      lassie23

      Same here! As long as it's snowing then I'm happy, all other weather is blah!

    3. Mapantz

      Mapantz

      You wouldn't want to live here then.. It takes some special synoptics to get proper snow here now. If it does snow, say a few inches.. It melts within a few hours of falling :3

    4. lassie23

      lassie23

      Sounds like you live near hell!

  9. MASSIVE contrast in the weather this week with the south east hot and sunny and here in the north west its been wet and miserable. Soon as there is an westerly element to the wind direction its bad news for us in the north west of the country for sure.
  10. Improved 12z runs but i for one am not going to get carried away,far to much volatility in the models at present,June was good for many and july looks reasonable at the moment,no 2003 and certainly no 2012,kind of average really with the south having the better of it,as one would expect.

    1. Show previous comments  1 more
    2. shedhead

      shedhead

      Still think ejecting the trough far enough E next week will be difficult and a painfully slow process. Ireland and the the far south and west of UK look reasonable, but elsewhere it will be rather miserable at times, especially close to the N Sea coast.

    3. shedhead

      shedhead

      Nothing in the overnight model suite to suggest a return to fine, warm weather, indeed with winds predominating from a westerly quarter things look very ordinary.

    4. shedhead

      shedhead

      06 GFS again highlights the difficulties in ejecting next week's troughing, which certainly has the potential at least to bring some pretty dire weather for July, especially across eastern parts of the country.

  11. Not a great outlook if ecm is to be believed,never to worry im off to IBIZA in 2 weeks :D

    1. Show previous comments  3 more
    2. Summer Sun

      Summer Sun

      The rain in Ibiza is just a blip lots of sunshine from tomorrow with highs around 26c

    3. shedhead

      shedhead

      The weekend and next week shaping up pretty much as expected now, with little or no sign on any protracted nationwide warmth, let alone heat across the 1st half of July at least.

    4. Summer Sun
  12. Bit disappointed in Thursdays forecast,the GFS precip charts must be hopeless as the last number of runs have just gone for high cloud and temps around 20 for the south of our region,but the bbc/meto just refusing to budge saying cool and unsettled Thursday. Wed might well be our last truly nice day for a wee while actually.
  13. Richard2901 do you think it might be best for you to move house? I mean,you sound a very very stressed individual.
  14. Not so sure the unsettled slot into the weekend is going to be as brief as i was hoping,that trough looks set to setup shop somewhere in the north sea and could be extremely annoying and do a good job of preventing the azores high from moving across the BI.

    1. Show previous comments  6 more
    2. Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

      ECM if fine,but far too much undertainty regarding the limpet trough and how quickly it ejects,not liking the sight of that west Russian wedge of high pressure.

    3. Richard2901

      Richard2901

      Thank god I'm off to Croatia for a fortnight next week. This summer is shaping up to be another extremely poor one. Today was the first time out in the garden for almost a fortnight.

    4. mulzy

      mulzy

      Decent summer so far in London / SE.

  15. Another lovely ecm this morning with a very warm working week away from the far NW before a brief couple of unsettled days before the azores high makes its move.GFS not as good.

    1. shedhead

      shedhead

      My take is reasonable for most Mon-Thu, rather cool and unsettled Fri-Mon with rain or showers at times for all. Slowly improving next week, but how quickly and to what degree remind unclear, with an NW/SE likely to develop.

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