pdiddy

Rain All Night it can lead to interesting cloud formation

Was just coming on to say thunder, lightning and snow... weather type on the radar hasn't picked up on it for some reason though; still showing as rain...

massive changes again this morning, which is to be expected, given the lack of consensus.

That's not temperature... check the 850s and you'll see how cold the air is.

probably (if and) when all models converge on a very similar evolution at T144

There have been a couple for Edinburgh: - 2010, after the main dumping where we actually didn't have that much, despite the warning - BFTE when we did get a fair bit

There are quite a few of us... just that it has been somewhat less marginal for snow for us recently, so can simply look out of the window! I do see a lot of comments suggesting "snowmageddon for Scotland" etc. when a Northerly is modeled, but that rarely delivers for Edinburgh and Glasgow, just the far North and coasts. And it doesn't snow here every year either, just to dispel the myths. Anyway, the models showing potential battleground along the boundary of mild and colder air. Potentially cold enough for wintry weather, but nothing spectacular in my opinion.

models aren't showing much for today, yet in Edinburgh it has been raining on and off all morning. I think it's one area the models really struggle

I grew up in Sompting and there was plenty of snow in the 70s. Less so since, I'm sure. I think there could be a few surprise snow events in the coming days with cold air in situ

The Norwegian would...

haven't seen a 1080 high modeled recently by GFS...

Yup. cross model agreement and run to run agreement. Yet we have people literally criticising the programming of the models, before the weather has actually happened... so I'll take my own advice and wait for the the next runs.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/3moutlook-ndj-v1secure.pdf

Another day of falling snow in Edinburgh... I’m sure someone is keeping score!

more snow has appeared on the BBC for Friday in Edinburgh... I wasn't that optimistic TBH

metO going for retrogression of heights westwards... we could be in business again in a week.

i would call it a niceday and an iceday

Latest GFS has the cold winning the battle and we get a re-load Easterly in FI... a trend to watch out for!

wondering whether there is another blob heading our way as a final hurrah?

if only there was a way to describe the position between 32 and 34cm! Not quite that depth in Morningside - I measured 20cm in the garden this morning.

that was some shower we had this morning... Not seen this much since 20210 In Edinburgh

I flew down to London from Edinburgh for a meeting and I was the only one in the office as the buses and trams had stopped running!

I think this is the point. there was a red for the central belt in 2010, but only after we had 30cm in Edinburgh!

interesting that the wind has eased off so the showers may become slower moving too