DR(S)NO

Repeat of my July guess please..16.5c

Well it sure is looking toasty Karl. Even this morning I walked out the door to a very humid feel . Likely to feel far more uncomfortable by tomorrow. Yellow warnings out for much of the north so , potentially, some rather nasty weather about for some .

Would we not be better renaming this thread .. Scotland-Weather Chat- Extended Autumn 2015..on and on and on.... Given that Winter was relatively pants... Spring did make an appearance but Summer has been non existent ( again)

Hmm, Glasgow temps next six days.. 17/19/17/14/13/13...semi permanent Autumn seems right MB.... I seem to remember feeling the same last year too... Summer last year for us was a few days at beginning of July.... This year ... A spell in June? Thoroughly depressing really.

Thank you Tamara for that wonderfully concise update on the current woeful conditions ... It certainly feels like this Summer is going to be particularly unremarkable in terms of any decent spells. Feels very much like a rinse and repeat type of Summer and the wonderful weather ( up here) of June seems a lifetime away now! I wonder if the current patterns will have any influence when it comes to the Autumn and then Winter weather.

It's not the only thing that's depressed Knocker... Currently 12c and pouring .. Not my idea of Summer ... And little to see by way of improvement .

Yawn, nothing to see here , I'm afraid.. A thoroughly average 16.5 c please

Any idea of the weather conditions to go with that French heat SS? Is there the possibility of more violent storms for them?

Those charts for the tail end of next week look promising for the south at least... Anyone want to hazard a guess at the weather the following week in the Paris area for the Euro games?

A few 15.2c guesses.. Who am I to disagree 15.2 c it is then.

11.5c please

Ahhhhh, you've got to laugh haven't you....is it really May this weekend

Warm?? Cold?? I Can't see anything at the moment in the charts to give me a decent indication of where things are going...8.5c please

Could be wrong , but it was my understanding that storms would be named more for their impact rather than the time of year.....i wonder whether this one warrants a name. Where are we at anyway regarding names? ...Do we restart the alphabet later in the year?

Hey Frosty, model runs are open to anyone's individual interpretation...only once the time period has passed can it be viewed as right or wrong . I, for one, enjoy reading your views which always appear to be an honest assessment of the information available at the time. I pay no attention whatever to anybody's praise or blame. I simply follow my own feelings.” ― Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart

On second thoughts let's call it 5.5 c please

I'll take 6.1 c please

Well March 11th 2006(as described below..courtesy of weather wise) was the heaviest snowfall I've seen in my area since snowfall in the 1980s. Given the right Synoptics we've still got a good few weeks of snow opportunities ...and goodness knows we deserve something after the long Autumn we seem to have had.. Disruptive frontal snowfall on the weekend of the 11th-12th March 2006 There was further disruption due to heavy snow on the 12th March as Atlantic fronts stalled against a well-established cold block across Scandinavia that extended towards the UK. A very cold air mass moved westward on the 11th to cover all but Ireland and Northern Ireland. Earlier in the week, numerical weather model output predicted the mild air from the Atlantic to make rapid progress eastward bringing a rapid thaw behind a band of snow that was to cross the country on the 12th. As the event neared, there was a sharp turnaround in model output in such a way that hasn't been seen for some time with the block being sustained across the UK, therefore preventing the mild air from progressing further east than the Irish Sea at the surface. Consequently on the 12th, the Atlantic fronts stalled across Wales, Northwest England and Southwest Scotland bringing some significant falls of snow to these areas overnight and during the morning of the 12th. A significant contrast in temperature was maintained across the Irish Sea throughout the day; under the persistent cloud and snow some parts of Northern England struggled to rise above freezing, the lowest maxima are outlined in Table 1 below. However, across the Irish Sea in parts of Ireland in the milder Atlantic air mass it was very mild with the temperature peaking at spring-like 13.8°C at Shannon Airport during the afternoon. Surface analysis by the UK Met Office for 00Z on 12th March 2006: http://www.wetterzentraleforum.de/archive/2006/brack/bracka20060312.gif TABLE 1. Lowest maxima recorded in the UK on the 12th March 2006 Station Maxima (°C) Boltshope Park, (County Durham) –1.2 Fylingdales, (North Yorks) –0.9 Carter Bar (Roxburgh) –0.6 Eskdalemuir (Dumfries) –0.5 Thorncliffe (Staffs) –0.5 Shap (Cumbria) –0.4 Ponteland (Northumberland) –0.4 Lake Vyrnwy (Montgomery) –0.3 Loftus (North Yorks) –0.2 Durham –0.2 Wilsden (West Yorks) –0.1 Warcop (Cumbria) 0.0 The snow fell most heavily across southwest central Scotland (with unofficial reports of 30 to 40cm of lying snow from some locations) in a strong and gusty SE’ly wind, fortunately during the late evening on Saturday and into Sunday when less people needed to travel. However, in Glasgow it left several thousand clubbers stranded during the early hours as the roads quickly became too treacherous and the usual bus and taxi services were suspended. The Garage nightclub and Central Hotel were opened to accommodate those who were stranded waiting for a taxi in the freezing conditions. Glasgow airport was closed for much of the day as the staff fought a losing battle to keep the runways clear of snow, and rail services were decimated across the areas worst affected as the snow continued to fall thick and fast. The M74 linking Scotland and England was closed for several hours during the day to northbound traffic at Johnstonebridge, and countless minor routes across Scotland were closed for the day as they became simply impassable. Once the snow had stopped falling, there were strong winds, which drifted the snow recently cleared off the roads, back onto them. Thousands of homes were left without power at one point because of downed power lines, though these mainly in the more rural and exposed parts of Dumfries and Galloway. Snow continued to fall through much of the day leading to some large accumulations across southwest Scotland and northwest England. Notably there were several centimetres even at sea level right by the coast in Blackpool, and many areas further inland and slightly higher above sea level had much more. The highest official totals recorded at 09z were 22cm reported at Bishopton (Renfrew), 21cm at Eskdalemuir (Dumfries) and 20cm in Glasgow. The southern extent of the snow appeared to be Manchester where little or none was reported and the extent of the precipitation from the Atlantic fronts was much patchier. Nearer the coast though the precipitation was much heavier, for instance, Liverpoolwas blanketed by many inches of snow by mid-morning. During the late afternoon most of the precipitation died out or changed over to ice pellets and light rain as the mild air started to work its way east, at least above the boundary layer. It remained very cold at the surface on the night of the 12th across much of the UK (apart from Northern Ireland and the extreme west coast of Scotland), the lowest temperature recorded was only –4°C at Buxton (Derbyshire) over the snowfields but with a strong S-SE’ly wind it certainly felt like a bitterly cold night. Surface analysis by the UK Met Office for 00Z on 13th March 2006: http://www.wetterzentraleforum.de/archive/2006/brack/bracka20060313.gif The block continued to dominate and exert its influence to the east of the country preventing the mild air from progressing much at the surface. This had the result of tightening the pressure gradient across the UK and drawing gale force S’lies across Scotland, which acted to drift the snow that had fallen during the day. Mild air was beginning to move in aloft on the 13th which led to spells of freezing rain at higher elevations under the inversion coating the snow cover in a frozen glaze, and in Scotland a thaw set in as the mild air raced in at the surface. Temperatures were slightly higher everywhere but still cold for March maxing in the 3 to 6°C range and still with the very cold wind-chill. Surface analysis by the UK Met Office for 00Z on 14th March 2006: http://www.wetterzentraleforum.de/archive/2006/brack/bracka20060314.gif The mild air eventually moved east during the rest of the week, though making slow progress and not before another spell of snow, freezing rain and ice pellets ensued across the north and east of Englandon the 14th. A further 5 – 10 cm fell across northeastern England locally during the morning renewing difficult travel conditions on the roads affected. The heavy snowfall forced the closure of Newcastleairport during the morning causing delays on several flights from the airport, it also forced the closure of many schools in Northumberland, County Durham, Tyne and Wear and Teeside. In south Yorkshire the A57 Snake Pass remained closed for several hours because of ice and the A66 in north Yorkshirewas also temporarily closed near Scotch Corner following a serious incident. Conditions began to improve though on the 15th as pressure began to build from the east and extend a ridge from the anticyclone across Scandinavia, the south had some long sunny spells where it felt a bit more like spring out of the wind and most of the wintry mix had changed back over to rain as the milder air mixed through to the boundary layer. However, during the rest of the week there were strengthening easterly winds and further unseasonably cold weather for March. Summary The snowy spell that occurred on the weekend 11th/12th March 2006 was possibly the worst to hit the UK in March since 1995 in terms of overall extent, snow depths and disruption caused.

A lot of weather to stay focussed on for the coming few days...anyone with thoughts about Monday's storm.....looks (atm) to be every bit as stormy as Gertrude but possibly a bit further south? Could have a major impact as it looks to be the afternoon that sees the worse of the winds.

Your spot on Catch ..in fact there's a lot of very interesting weather popping up,over the next few days. Definetely a very good chance of extreme gusts both tomorrow,Friday and Monday...and certainly some snow risk too. Exciting times ahead

Thought I'd wait a bit later than usual for my guess but , frankly, I still don't have a clue where Feb will end up...gut feeling is it'll be a colder month so my guess is 3.7c

Helensburgh town centre getting very snowy...outskirts of town getting thick....hoping for a sharp frost later...

Chucking it down atm Helensburgh way........ Sledging time is here

Hi folks...currently hovering just above zero...been snowing ( nice fluffy flakes) for around 1.5 hrs...down in Helensburgh ...probably about an inch out with town ....seems to be turning a bit lighter atm..