-
Posts
121 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Profile Information
-
Gender
Male
-
Location
Aberdeen
-
Interests
Discovered Meteorology when I passed my Pilot's licence and loved learning about the intricacies of the Atmosphere since then.
Flying of course. -
Weather Preferences
Stratosphere, Thunderstorms, Hurricanes, Snow Prediction
FrenchScotPilot1's Achievements
-
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2013/2014
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm after an explanation about the link between Mountain Torque (there's one in Asia just now, so it is topical) and SSWs. What is the physics behind it, what happens during the event? Many thanks! -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2013/2014
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Does it not depend on where the fragmenting vortex goes and how it intereacts with the blocking high? Is it fair to assume that it will always strengthen the block? EDIT: Disregard. Chiono answered as I was typing. -
Stratosphere Temperature Watch 2013/2014
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I haven't had much time yet but I now take this opportunity to repeat what has already been said: thanks very much Ed and other contributors to make this thread, abeit quite technical, VERY VERY interesting and informative!! It really furthers our knowledge of atmospheric physics every time. Best regards, Stephane -
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
On behalf of one of my estimated twitter user, find below something about Global wind Oscillation (GWO). GWO is arguably the best all round measure of atmosphere because it encompasses GLAAM (see above), Rossby waves, responses to torques (which include global patterns like nao, pna, etc...) and MJO if coherent. What is missing now is a composite comparison height anomaly set of charts. Another bit on Atmospheric Angular Momentum (AAM) and espacially its calculated tendency relative It includes (Gravity Wave Drag + Coriolis + Mountain + Frictional) Torques + Relative AAM Flux Convergence It is shown at the bottom of the page: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/aam.90day.total.shtml- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with:
-
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Great link here to teleconnections technical papers http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/73911-technical-teleconnective-papers/ but it would take years to read them all and summarise findings. What I had in mind was (and I hope it is not too naive/utopistic) AMO, PDO, MJO, ENSO, AAM, etc have the following effects on European weather: AMO: effects PDO: effects MJO: effects ENSO: effects AAM: effects etc...- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with:
-
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
On behalf of one of my estimated twitter user, find below a random bit on Globally Averaged Angular Momentum (GLAAM). It's assessed as a global (averaged in latitude and longitude) anomaly of AAM. [*]+AM in late summer normally equates to neutral NAO with ridge in mid latitudes [*]+AM can help develop ridges at high latitudes in winter months [*]-AM can help develop ridges in high latitudes in summer months For info, last March ('13), which was ended up the coldest in 50 years, had a very defined positive GLAAM. Climate indices, monthly atmospheric and Ocean Time Series: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/climateindices/list/ Note: This post will be edited as and when.- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with:
-
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Sounds good thanks. I'll have a look.- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with:
-
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Thanks Supercell89. Ok, what do Iknow so far when it comes to global influences. It's a bit like paper rock scissors: Sun influences SST. Atmosphere and Ocean influence each other (ENSO). ENSO influences MJO. MJO influences upper/lower tropical winds. Upper winds influence pressure patterns (e.g. jet stream drives NAO) Oceans drive PDO and AMO. AAM is the result of frictional torque (surface friction) and mountain torque (pressure difference on W and E side of mountains). AAM is conserved therefore changes are done through torques above. Stronger W'lies = Atm AM increase = Earth AM decrease Atm AM increase with E'lies in the Tropics, decrease with W'lies in mid latitudes. There is therefore a poleward trasfer of AM. ENSO changes E'ly trades into W'ly trades. Atm AM increases, Earth AM decreases. This is what I have so far. My next read is on GWO vs MJO.- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with:
-
Teleconnections and long range forecasting
FrenchScotPilot1 replied to BornFromTheVoid's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I'm creating this topic as some sort of research thread to try to establish how we could improve long range forecasting (1-3 months in advance) using teleconnections and variability indices: QBO, ENSO, PDO, GWO, AMO, AAM, Mountain/Frictional torque, etc... Some analysis/forecasting sites to start with: AAM, Mountain/frictional torque: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/aam.90day.total.shtml GWO, MJO composites: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/clim/gsdm.composites.shtml GWO: http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/nschiral/gwo.html MJO: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_mjo_phase_forecast.php TIGGE MJO: http://tparc.mri-jma.go.jp/TIGGE/tigge_MJO.html MJO composites: http://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html Various: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/climwx.shtml Various: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections/index.php And there are many many more. We could also include SSW. I've laid out the foundations, please start building the walls :-) Let's make it a great place to learn...- 59 replies
-
- teleconnections cet analysis
- qbo enso
-
(and 5 more)
Tagged with: