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Snowman.

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Everything posted by Snowman.

  1. Snowman.
    I can see the cloud and I must say it looks like a snow cloud. Not dark grey but a sort of shallow grey.
  2. Snowman.
    It just didn't end.
  3. Snowman.
    March 2013. after 1 snow event the others was already being modelled this led to the red warning during the end of march.
  4. Snowman.
    Uncertainty is high so the best thing to do is watch the radar and temp outside.
  5. Snowman.
    So we now have another solution.
  6. Snowman.
    This is like the most perfect block we have seen in a while.
  7. Snowman.
    Just need it nudged gently into the channel. Which is good considering it's so far away.
  8. Snowman.
    Very close. Further south and those in the south and south-east will take a nice dumping. Wales suffers almost a day of snow. A nudge south and this can be memorable for those in the south of the UK. What early differences can effect down the line.
  9. Snowman.
    Pretty big differences by T120 Less trough disruption, everything further south. Looks a little like the UKMO actually possible for the Atlantic to re-amplify after the low slides SE.
  10. Snowman.
    Heights are much stronger north which will push everything further south.. 18z vs 12z
  11. Snowman.
    Not really considering we don't even know if this coldspell is going to happen or not. FI is really close so there is no point getting caught up with anything T144+
  12. Snowman.
    The sliders are likely to be positioned further south or even on the main event it could just be further north or further south. (March 2013 channel low was pushed further and further south before in tracked in north France.) Considering it is so far away there is no point getting hung up on the current output unless you live in the SW then you want a decent budge SW.
  13. Snowman.
    March 2013 and April to an extent was probably the best we've had SINCE 2010.
  14. Snowman.
    But in all fairness this is what a lot of people where saying at the start of December. Look how that played out a decent snow event for in the midlands many of who haven't seen snow since 2013. And the current date is January the 5th and there is 26 days left of January so in fairness that comment was rather pre-mature in its own nature.
  15. Snowman.
    Parallel disagrees with the OP in FI. Para OP Although it's clear that the strat has suffered a tremendous blow on the para at least at 10hpa. EDIT: 6z just steeped its game up with a possible split.
  16. Snowman.
    Decent signal for mid atlantic ridge. This has been showing for days within the GEFS anoms. Not really going anywhere trough sinking into europe.
  17. Snowman.
    Anomalies Very strong signal for Height rises in the mid Atlantic which has been showing in the GEFS for a while now. True. Very true indeed so caution is obviously advised. But the trend is there and it only gains stronger so it can't be ignored especially when both GFS runs arrive to similar synoptics just the potency is the change. And to give back life to the coldies there's always light at the end of the tunnel.
  18. Snowman.
    The GFS Twins disagree on that.
  19. Snowman.
    An almost true Greenland high.
  20. Snowman.
    You're already talking about the end of a potential cold snap that rests 13 days away! I think the first on the list is to get it here first!
  21. Snowman.
    Downward trend after the day 10 period. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gens/runs/2015010218/graphe3_1000_306_141___Londres.gif
  22. Snowman.
    It's significant enough to affect the anomalies.
  23. Snowman.
    Anomalies of the GEFS bia-corrected 6z T192 T240 T384 To me they at least show the Candian vorticity weakening but do show a very stormy and unsettled period for us in the UK and on the cooler side as the depressions dig further south. It may just be a case of the pattern re-amplifying off the East coast before we see anything.
  24. Snowman.
    CMA also in there not as strong as the others but not like the GFS NCMRWF GFS looking very much on its own of shifting it east then back west.
  25. Snowman.
    Para looking tasty.
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