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summer blizzard

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Posts posted by summer blizzard

  1. As per my gif above and another zoomed in version net sub-surface anomolies are now negative again in the ENSO region and down to circa -3. Upwelling is already starting to occur east of the dateline.

    I believe the appropriate term for the coming weeklies will be 'geronimo'.

  2. 3 hours ago, Sunny76 said:

    Yeah I know. Ireland summers are usually damp and wet, and not all that warm.

    I speak from experience, as we used to visit my grandmother’s brother in cork in summers of 85, 89, 90, 91, 93. All of which were poor. 

    Like the UK Ireland likely has Victorian plumbing and if they've not done any more replacement work than us it will generate huge leakage as ours does. Being wetter they probably also don't carry as much spare capacity 

  3. 2 hours ago, MATTWOLVES said:

    I don't dispute your takings on those noaa charts,but it still doesn't alter the fact that most data out to that point will be showing a slight bias towards climatology normal preferences.. Tamara points this out often as do senior met office operators! Any model data at this range can become very confused by misleading or overriding signals! If most of the data becomes clueless at longer range and reverts back to the default Weather pattern.. 8/9 times out of 10 it will be proven correct..

    Worth saying that the anomoly charts are not automated and can be clearly seen when reading the prognostic discussion. They are basically just global FAX charts so the human element will usually smooth out bias.

    • Like 7
  4. 8 hours ago, Frigid said:

    I was quite young at the time so don't have any memories of Summer 2006 but looking at the stats, it must've been an exceptional summer especially that July. And also the very warm September and October mustve been quite unusual. 

    The June was probably as notable as July for day to day experience. I enjoyed the summer a lot. The June was drier and the most anticyclonic on record.

  5. 3 hours ago, Scorcher said:

    The classic prolonged memorable spells are nearly always dry air masses. 2018 and the spell in mid July 2006 are prime examples, although 2006 did become more thundery later on.

    August 2003 is another- generally low relative humidity and I believe June/July1976 was also low humidity.

    People have a perception that it's humid because of our well insulated buildings and lack of air conditioning. 

    Hot, humid spells are usually more shortlived in this part of the world.

    2006 was especially notable because on the day the July record went I remember people posting here that the dew point was only 8C. July 13 also had humidity in the 35-39% range quite often which did not feel oppressive (this one seems to be close to 50% but there’s zero wind too making it worse).

    Here in Leeds the wind is forecast to back from the East from tomorrow evening so while still very hot on Wednesday and Thursday I’m hoping it may feel less oppressive.

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